Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dogs

Only 10 developers shipped a Dog Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Milfylicious - Chapter I, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.4k against a market of $480. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 21 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,998)
Top 5% $161k (exactly $161,442)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 44
Announced 21
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 81% positive over 413 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Beat Banger · EA older $9.99 3,311 93% 99k $992k (exactly $992,307) BunFan Games LLC
Big Farm Story older $19.99 1,172 78% 35k $703k (exactly $702,848) Goodgame Studios
The Red Lantern older $24.99 934 83% 28k $700k (exactly $700,220) Timberline Studio
Furry Shades of Gay 2: A Shade Gayer older $9.99 738 96% 22k $221k (exactly $221,179) Furlough Games
Sex and the Furry Titty 2: Sins of the City older $9.99 708 91% 21k $212k (exactly $212,188) Furlough Games
Furry Shades of Gay older $6.99 835 91% 25k $175k (exactly $175,100) Furlough Games
Milfylicious - Chapter I $14.99 359 81% 11k $161k (exactly $161,442) Maximus
Purrfect Apawcalypse: Love at Furst Bite older $4.99 826 98% 25k $124k (exactly $123,652) Denny Truong, Andy Schneider
Furry Shades of Gay 3: Still Gayer older $9.99 403 95% 12k $121k (exactly $120,779) Furlough Games
Pet Shop Simulator older $14.99 231 68% 6.9k $104k (exactly $103,881) Games Incubator
Tchunk $4.99 26 61% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Velli Media
Sammy Jukes: Twin Lakes $19.99 5 100% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Wamill
Wantama☆Life $24.99 2 100% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) CyberStep, Inc.
Murder Is Game Over: The Blackinton Curse $5.99 8 100% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) HitherYon Games
Chick'n Mushroom Soup $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Team Sermath
Autumn with the Shiba Inu $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Quill Game Studios
Gyeonwoo's Love $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Moru Games
靴下物語ー大門ジゲンの靴下店ー $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) KNIGHT_0(ナイトー)
おしかけケモミミついんず FURRY TWINS $29.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CyberStep, Inc., Rideon Works Co. Ltd,

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.