Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Sports game?

Sports + Card Game

Of 37 developers who shipped a Card Game Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×172 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 56 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 56 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $2.7k → $1.8k → $2.5k (still earning) → $270 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $108k (exactly $107,946)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 152
Announced 56
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.77

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Card Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$7.77 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.77.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 984 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Esports Godfather older $19.99 4,319 90% 130k $2.6M (exactly $2,590,104) Asteroid Game Studio
Poker Club older $19.99 506 58% 15k $303k (exactly $303,448) Ripstone
NUTMEG! A Nostalgic Deckbuilding Football Manager $24.99 378 89% 11k $283k (exactly $283,387) Sumo Digital, Sumo Digital Academy
Golf Peaks older $4.99 1,076 95% 32k $161k (exactly $161,077) Afterburn
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Clutchtime™: Basketball Deckbuilder $19.99 180 77% 5.4k $108k (exactly $107,946) Bigosaur
Mahjong World Contest (麻将) older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Creobit
Squiggle Football $16.99 144 93% 4.3k $73k (exactly $73,397) Max Barry
Pure Hold'em older $17.99 110 46% 3.3k $59k (exactly $59,367) VooFoo Studios
Infinity: HexaDome Tactics $19.99 92 75% 2.8k $55k (exactly $55,172) Blindspot Games
Game Pulse Payoff Pitch $49.95 9 66% 270 $13k (exactly $13,486) Fireside Experience
Regista: Reign Your Football Club $4.99 68 67% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) dicehit
Punch to Glory $6.99 42 92% 1.3k $8.8k (exactly $8,807) Musa GUNGOR
Board game party $2.99 50 80% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) Willgw
Dynasty! $14.99 8 87% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) newberry94005
Cycling Champion · EA $8.99 13 84% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) RaulM

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.