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Should I ship a Card Game Hex Grid game?
Hex Grid + Card Game
Only 17 developers shipped a Card Game Hex Grid game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rogue Hex, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×9.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×328 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 53 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $18,881) |
| Top 5% | $156k (exactly $155,922) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 58 |
| Announced | 53 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Hex Grid, Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Roguelite
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 776 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Hex Grid with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
Armello 2015 · $8.3M 
Thea: The Awakening 2015 · $2.0M 
Alina of the Arena 2022 · $1.6M 
Faeria 2017 · $912k 
Hexarchy 2023 · $738k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Armello | older | $24.99 | 11,013 82% | 330k | $8.3M (exactly $8,256,446) | League of Geeks |
| | Thea: The Awakening | older | $19.99 | 3,318 87% | 100k | $2.0M (exactly $1,989,805) | MuHa Games |
| | Alina of the Arena | older | $14.99 | 3,577 91% | 107k | $1.6M (exactly $1,608,577) | PINIX |
| | Faeria | older | $19.99 | 1,520 83% | 46k | $912k (exactly $911,544) | Abrakam Entertainment SA |
| | Hexarchy | older | $19.99 | 1,231 83% | 37k | $738k (exactly $738,231) | Main Tank Software |
 | Super Bullet Break | older | $19.99 | 434 81% | 13k | $260k (exactly $260,270) | BeXide Inc. |
 | Chaos Reborn | older | $9.99 | 819 74% | 25k | $245k (exactly $245,454) | Snapshot Games Inc. |
 | Rogue Hex | $19.99 | 260 89% | 7.8k | $156k (exactly $155,922) | Topstitch Games | |
 | The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn | older | $19.99 | 158 77% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Dragon Wing Studio |
 | Dawnmaker | older | $14.99 | 156 91% | 4.7k | $70k (exactly $70,153) | Arpentor Studio |
 | Clonizer | $14.99 | 146 82% | 4.4k | $66k (exactly $65,656) | Juicy Plume | |
 | The Dead Await | $12.99 | 108 67% | 3.2k | $42k (exactly $42,088) | Shotx | |
 | Transport Legion | $8.99 | 76 81% | 2.3k | $20k (exactly $20,497) | 喜人一个 | |
 | Wild City | $9.99 | 63 88% | 1.9k | $19k (exactly $18,881) | Monka Studios | |
 | Flawed Tactics | $9.99 | 59 89% | 1.8k | $18k (exactly $17,682) | Flawed Games | |
 | Wild Country | $24.99 | 11 54% | 330 | $8.2k (exactly $8,247) | Lost Native | |
 | Defense&Making | · EA | $13.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | 3DAYS |
 | Hex Blast | $4.99 | 30 100% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | Soy Boy Games | |
 | Path of Gear: Blacksmith's Legend | · EA | $9.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | HaNWA Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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