Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gambling Card Game?

Card Game + Gambling

Of 126 developers who shipped a Gambling Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 167 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×5.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 167 games are announced against 89 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 167 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 126
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $896 → $2.1k → $269 → $299 → $1.1k → $535 (still earning) → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 126
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $5.2k (exactly $5,211)
Top 5% $187k (exactly $186,770)
Developers, 2 yr 126
Released games 258
Announced 167
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Card Game, Gambling; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Battler, Deckbuilding
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 36,723 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $5.2k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 56 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 167 games are announced against 89 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  8. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  9. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds23 devs · median $16k · 50 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gamble With Your Friends $7.99 18,883 89% 566k $4.5M (exactly $4,526,255) TEAM GWYF
Poker Night at the Inventory $9.99 8,143 94% 244k $2.4M (exactly $2,440,457) Skunkape Games
Card Shark older $19.99 2,965 90% 89k $1.8M (exactly $1,778,110) Nerial
RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike $11.99 4,239 82% 127k $1.5M (exactly $1,524,768) Doraccoon
Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers older $14.99 2,988 81% 90k $1.3M (exactly $1,343,704) Purple Moss Collectors
This Ain’t Even Poker, Ya Joker $5.99 1,781 86% 53k $320k (exactly $320,046) Mash
Poker Club older $19.99 506 58% 15k $303k (exactly $303,448) Ripstone
Bingle Bingle $14.99 666 80% 20k $300k (exactly $299,500) Knitting Games
Big Winner $12.99 550 82% 17k $214k (exactly $214,335) iFAction Studio
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
All in Abyss: Judge the Fake $15.99 375 54% 11k $180k (exactly $179,888) ACQUIRE Corp., WSS playground
Spin Hero $7.99 573 73% 17k $137k (exactly $137,348) Sphere Studios
Plinbo: Roguelike Plinko $6.99 379 67% 11k $79k (exactly $79,476) Raphus & Co.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.