Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Card Game?

Board Game + Card Game

Of 293 developers who shipped a Board Game Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 382 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×4.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $95. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 382 games are announced against 196 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 382 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 293
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.4k → $1.8k → $2.2k → $2.9k → $987 → $1.1k → $359 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 293
Bottom 30% $95 (exactly $95)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,756)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $58,011)
Developers, 2 yr 293
Released games 870
Announced 382
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Board Game, Card Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Tabletop
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 9,501 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $95, median $480, 1 in 4 over $5.7k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $95. 8 in 10 of the 125 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 382 games are announced against 196 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tabletop Simulator older $19.99 46,875 95% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,110,937) Berserk Games
Gloomhaven older $34.99 13,628 82% 409k $14M (exactly $14,305,312) Flaming Fowl Studios, Saber Interactive
UNO older $9.99 42,019 70% 1.3M $13M (exactly $12,593,094) Ubisoft Entertainment
Armello older $24.99 11,013 82% 330k $8.3M (exactly $8,256,446) League of Geeks
Cultist Simulator older $19.99 10,496 82% 315k $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) Weather Factory
Wingspan older $19.99 9,807 94% 294k $5.9M (exactly $5,881,258) Monster Couch
Hand of Fate older $19.99 8,009 89% 240k $4.8M (exactly $4,802,997) Defiant Development
Hand of Fate 2 older $29.99 5,273 84% 158k $4.7M (exactly $4,744,118) Defiant Development
Tainted Grail: Conquest older $19.99 7,589 90% 228k $4.6M (exactly $4,551,123) Questline
Gremlins, Inc. older $19.99 6,562 85% 197k $3.9M (exactly $3,935,231) Charlie Oscar Lima Tango Interactive En… (Charlie Oscar Lima Tango Interactive Entertainment)
StarVaders $24.99 3,760 97% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,818,872) Pengonauts
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
Clank! $22.99 542 92% 16k $374k (exactly $373,817) Dire Wolf
HEART of CROWN Online $29.99 412 84% 12k $371k (exactly $370,676) illuCalab, FLIPFLOPs, quziralab.
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
The Horror at Highrook $19.99 461 90% 14k $276k (exactly $276,462) Nullpointer Games
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Trizon $8.99 589 92% 18k $159k (exactly $158,853) Ling
Master of Piece · EA $14.99 197 86% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) I M GAME, I M fine

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.