Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Mahjong

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mahjong Card Game?

Card Game + Mahjong

Of 28 developers who shipped a Mahjong Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×6.3 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 24 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Mahjong
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $1.1k → $1.5k → $599 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Mahjong: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,268)
Top 5% $287k (exactly $287,113)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 51
Announced 24
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Mahjong
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Card Game, Mahjong; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 5,363 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $750, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  6. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  8. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  9. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds23 devs · median $16k · 50 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demonic Mahjong $16.99 3,875 95% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,975,087) Boxed Lighting Games
Aotenjo: Infinite Hands · EA $9.99 958 87% 29k $287k (exactly $287,113) XO Cat
Mahjong World Contest (麻将) older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Creobit
Mahjong Magic Journey older $14.99 136 80% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) Creobit
The Fantasy World of Mahjong Princess older $9.99 150 84% 4.5k $45k (exactly $44,955) LSJ Productions
Feng Shui Meowjong $4.99 276 95% 8.3k $41k (exactly $41,317) Wavebreak Studio
纵横麻将 Matrix Mahjong $9.99 66 90% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Chao8games
Kungfu Card · EA $4.99 125 73% 3.8k $19k (exactly $18,712) ZeroCastle Game Studio, Miwu Studio
Mahjick - The Realm Taker older $11.99 32 87% 960 $12k (exactly $11,510) Dern Lin
Christmas Mahjong older $14.99 19 68% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Creobit
Guandan $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Pixel Dance
Fortiori $8.40 9 100% 270 $2.3k (exactly $2,268) 79GAMES
Spellarium 12 $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) LGT SIA
Puppy Link - Tile Connect $2.99 17 88% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) ZT-Studio
Mahjong Riddles: Egypt $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Star Mill BV

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.