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Should I ship a Card Game Dating Sim?
Card Game + Dating Sim
Of 23 developers who shipped a Card Game Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $18k, ×147 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.5M, ×13084 the market median. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 48 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) |
|---|---|
| Median | $18k (exactly $17,515) |
| Top 25% | $78k (exactly $78,055) |
| Top 5% | $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 85 |
| Announced | 48 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Card Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Card Game, Dating Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Card Battler, Deckbuilding
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Cute, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 15,479 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.3k. 5 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SteampunkFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DogsFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Board GameFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
Comparable games
Neon White 2022 · $13M 
Potionomics 2022 · $5.2M 
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist 2022 · $3.3M 
School Days 2026 · $2.7M 
Matchmaking Inc. 2025 · $1.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Neon White | older | $24.99 | 17,259 97% | 518k | $13M (exactly $12,939,072) | Angel Matrix |
| | Potionomics | older | $24.99 | 6,973 90% | 209k | $5.2M (exactly $5,227,658) | Voracious Games |
| | I Was a Teenage Exocolonist | older | $24.99 | 4,443 96% | 133k | $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) | Northway Games |
| | School Days | $14.99 | 6,023 77% | 181k | $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543) | 白雨工作室 | |
| | Matchmaking Inc. | $8.99 | 5,773 87% | 173k | $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) | Wave Games | |
 | Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening | · EA | $17.99 | 2,458 85% | 74k | $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) | U-Secret Studio |
 | ISEKAI QUEST | older | $3.99 | 3,679 85% | 110k | $440k (exactly $440,376) | Studio Ginkgo |
 | AURA: Hentai Cards | older | $9.99 | 1,045 80% | 31k | $313k (exactly $313,186) | TopHouse Studio, AniCore Team |
 | Love of Magic | older | $14.99 | 417 88% | 13k | $188k (exactly $187,525) | Droid Productions |
 | FUTA FUCKS FEMBOYS | $12.99 | 276 88% | 8.3k | $108k (exactly $107,557) | Horny Capybara Studio | |
 | Hypnosis Card 2 Happy Life | $12.99 | 270 91% | 8.1k | $105k (exactly $105,219) | Naku Kinoko | |
 | Fuckstone | $11.99 | 217 88% | 6.5k | $78k (exactly $78,055) | Anime Mania | |
 | SEXOPHOBIA 🔞 | $14.99 | 168 78% | 5.0k | $76k (exactly $75,550) | Lewd Star | |
 | Isekai Big Dick | $10.99 | 122 87% | 3.7k | $40k (exactly $40,223) | Hippo Games | |
 | Hypnosis Card 2 | $12.99 | 65 78% | 2.0k | $25k (exactly $25,330) | Naku Kinoko | |
 | Deadly Heart Gambit | $6.99 | 107 90% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Blink Hydrate ブリンク |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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