Do I ship it?

Games › Card Game › Card Game + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Card Game?

Card Game + Artificial Intelligence

Of 40 developers who shipped an AI Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 3545% on the market; 54 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 3545% on the market, 54 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $16k → $419 → $1.8k → $59 → $450 → $1.6k (still earning) → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $77,161)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 98
Announced 54
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3545% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 613 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  8. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  9. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds23 devs · median $16k · 50 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lythia: Sigil of Lust 2025 · $82k Roll Player - The Board Game 2023 · $81k TCG Multiplayer Card Shop Simulator 2025 · EA · $77k Trendpoker 3D: Texas Hold'em Poker 2017 · $30k The False God's Fold 2026 · $25k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lythia: Sigil of Lust $24.99 109 75% 3.3k $82k (exactly $81,717) capture 1
Roll Player - The Board Game older $14.99 180 91% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Mipmap Digital
TCG Multiplayer Card Shop Simulator · EA $12.99 198 54% 5.9k $77k (exactly $77,161) Alkame Games
Trendpoker 3D: Texas Hold'em Poker older $9.99 100 76% 3.0k $30k (exactly $29,970) BufoProject
The False God's Fold $11.99 70 78% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Night Owl Games
富甲天下W older $7.99 101 42% 3.0k $24k (exactly $24,210) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Digital Diamond Baseball V11 older $19.99 38 100% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) Curiosity Computing
Lustpunk 69 $8.99 83 87% 2.5k $22k (exactly $22,385) Kinky Business Group
Kemono Mahjong older $4.99 142 89% 4.3k $21k (exactly $21,257) Cyberdog Software
Strip 'Em II: Facka's Game older $14.99 38 81% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) DreamBig Games, Lemonhaze Studio
Futa Succubus Slay! $12.99 26 65% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Npolish
K2: Digital Edition $14.99 20 85% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Devon Games
Rip N Ship Simulator · EA $12.99 18 94% 540 $7.0k (exactly $7,015) Copixel Studios
Card Collection Simulator · EA $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Cluck Games, LLC
Adult spirit $3.99 52 84% 1.6k $6.2k (exactly $6,224) Inspite, W-I-W
okey.gg · EA $9.99 16 50% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) yilmaz.games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.