Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk Card Game?

Card Game + Steampunk

Only 15 developers shipped a Steampunk Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FrostBound, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.6k, ×12 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $480. Revenue is up 8425% on the market; 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 8425% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $28k → $1.3k
Outcomes for Card Game + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $7.6k (exactly $7,645)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $47,218)
Top 5% $538k (exactly $537,841)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 37
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 8425% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,962 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $7.6k, 1 in 4 over $47k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  3. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  4. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  6. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  8. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  9. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds23 devs · median $16k · 50 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gremlins, Inc. older $19.99 6,562 85% 197k $3.9M (exactly $3,935,231) Charlie Oscar Lima Tango Interactive En… (Charlie Oscar Lima Tango Interactive Entertainment)
SteamWorld Quest: Hand of Gilgamech older $24.99 1,953 87% 59k $1.5M (exactly $1,464,164) Image & Form Games
FrostBound $14.99 1,196 82% 36k $538k (exactly $537,841) Lyra Studio
Sovereign Syndicate older $19.99 573 79% 17k $344k (exactly $343,628) Crimson Herring Studios
Erannorth Chronicles older $20.99 407 85% 12k $256k (exactly $256,288) Spyridon Thalassinos
Prime World: Defenders older $9.99 729 78% 22k $218k (exactly $218,481) Nival
Hunter's Moon: A Sovereign Syndicate Adventure $19.99 205 83% 6.2k $123k (exactly $122,938) Crimson Herring Studios
Ironclad Tactics older $14.99 237 75% 7.1k $107k (exactly $106,579) Zachtronics
Snow Ash $14.99 179 73% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Ember Studio
Dawnmaker older $14.99 156 91% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Arpentor Studio
Pirates Outlaws 2: Heritage · EA $14.99 105 60% 3.2k $47k (exactly $47,218) Fabled Game
Break Siege · EA $14.99 66 84% 2.0k $30k (exactly $29,680) FojoGames
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Lust Poker Club $7.99 89 78% 2.7k $21k (exactly $21,333) Cutie Booty
King’s Well $14.99 17 76% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) Fire Brick Games
The Mnemograph · EA $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Thousands of Daggers
Gemwielders $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Simon Sailer, Enhydra Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.