Games › Gambling › Gambling + Capitalism
Should I ship a Capitalist Gambling game?
Gambling + Capitalism
Of 50 developers who shipped a Capitalist Gambling game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $870k, ×1837 the market median. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 82 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $330 (exactly $330) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,888) |
| Top 25% | $31k (exactly $31,479) |
| Top 5% | $872k (exactly $872,427) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 50 |
| Released games | 78 |
| Announced | 82 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gambling
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Capitalism
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Gambling; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Resource Management, Economy
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Relaxing, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 39,246 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $330. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gambling with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Online Co-OpFair
- + Co-opFair
- + FPSFair
- + Life SimFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Multiple EndingsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + MysteryFair
Comparable games
Scritchy Scratchy 2026 · $3.2M 
Bills Must Be Paid 2026 · $2.1M 
Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers 2024 · $1.3M 
STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator 2023 · EA · $936k 
Horsey Game 2026 · $872k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Scritchy Scratchy | $6.99 | 15,245 94% | 457k | $3.2M (exactly $3,196,876) | Lunch Money Games | |
| | Bills Must Be Paid | $6.99 | 9,928 96% | 298k | $2.1M (exactly $2,081,902) | Rike Games | |
| | Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers | older | $14.99 | 2,988 81% | 90k | $1.3M (exactly $1,343,704) | Purple Moss Collectors |
| | STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator | · EA older | $9.99 | 3,124 95% | 94k | $936k (exactly $936,263) | TERNOX |
| | Horsey Game | $9.99 | 2,911 97% | 87k | $872k (exactly $872,427) | Captain Games | |
 | Gamblers Table | $6.99 | 2,955 74% | 89k | $620k (exactly $619,664) | greenpixels, Bossforge | |
 | Click the Button | $3.99 | 3,849 93% | 115k | $461k (exactly $460,725) | LoopCap | |
 | Space Warlord Baby Trading Simulator | $19.99 | 513 91% | 15k | $308k (exactly $307,646) | Strange Scaffold | |
 | Insider Trading | $12.89 | 600 79% | 18k | $232k (exactly $232,020) | Naiive | |
 | Unfair Flips | $1.99 | 2,523 88% | 76k | $151k (exactly $150,623) | HEATHER FLOWERS | |
 | Slots & Diapers | $6.99 | 539 88% | 16k | $113k (exactly $113,028) | Parodie Games | |
 | Scratch the Ticket | $9.99 | 183 44% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $54,845) | Shilenok |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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