Games › Sports › Sports + Bullet Hell
Should I ship a Bullet Hell Sports game?
Sports + Bullet Hell
Of 24 developers who shipped a Bullet Hell Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×211 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 11 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $37k (exactly $37,049) |
| Top 5% | $133k (exactly $132,644) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 114 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Bullet Hell; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Roguelite, Action
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,451 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Whisker Squadron: Survivor | $19.99 | 485 77% | 15k | $291k (exactly $290,854) | Flippfly LLC | |
| | Lake of Creatures | $12.49 | 354 92% | 11k | $133k (exactly $132,644) | ANTENNA GAMES | |
| | Master of 4 Swords | $39.99 | 93 93% | 2.8k | $112k (exactly $111,572) | Don BASS | |
| | Canyon of Outlaws | $39.99 | 92 89% | 2.8k | $110k (exactly $110,372) | Javlier P | |
| | Motordoom | older | $13.99 | 174 94% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $73,028) | Hobo Cat Games |
| | Wand Wars | older | $11.99 | 183 96% | 5.5k | $66k (exactly $65,825) | Moonradish Inc. |
| | Sky Racket | older | $14.99 | 102 92% | 3.1k | $46k (exactly $45,869) | Double Dash Studios |
| | Vilde | $15.99 | 87 74% | 2.6k | $42k (exactly $41,734) | Chaotic Minds | |
| | Freefall '95 | $11.99 | 103 99% | 3.1k | $37k (exactly $37,049) | S-Bend Games | |
| | Ball-it Hell | older | $2.99 | 368 95% | 11k | $33k (exactly $33,010) | Jamesika |
| | 10S FOREVER | $7.99 | 94 98% | 2.8k | $23k (exactly $22,532) | owch | |
| | Touhou Volleyball Danmaku | $9.99 | 40 100% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | Compact TH | |
| | Citadel Siege | $0.99 | 94 93% | 2.8k | $2.8k (exactly $2,792) | · | |
| | Error_Boy.exe | $8.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $2.4k (exactly $2,427) | WalnutPunch |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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