Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Billiards

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Billiards Sports game?

Sports + Billiards

Of 34 developers who shipped a Billiards Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 860% on the market; 23 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 860% on the market, 23 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Billiards
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $2.2k → $2.7k → $120 → $179 → $539 → $299 (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Billiards: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,235)
Top 5% $154k (exactly $154,438)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 103
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 860% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Billiards
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Billiards; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Physics, PvP
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,008 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Snooker 19 older $29.99 751 73% 23k $676k (exactly $675,675) Lab42
Virtual Pool 4 older $24.99 770 82% 23k $577k (exactly $577,269) Celeris
Cue Club 2: Pool & Snooker older $18.99 858 90% 26k $489k (exactly $488,803) Bulldog Interactive
Sports Bar VR older $19.99 784 83% 24k $470k (exactly $470,165) Cherry Pop Games, Perilous Orbit
Pool Nation older $6.99 2,208 89% 66k $463k (exactly $463,018) Cherry Pop Games
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Nine-Ball Roulette $3.99 2,159 88% 65k $258k (exactly $258,432) WaveBox Labs
Pure Pool older $9.99 672 58% 20k $201k (exactly $201,398) VooFoo Studios
Pure Pool Pro $24.99 206 66% 6.2k $154k (exactly $154,438) Rockwater
Drop Pockets · EA $14.99 243 83% 7.3k $109k (exactly $109,277) Children of Madness
Basketboy's Adventure $9.99 78 78% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) greenteagame1
My Car My Life · EA $1.99 171 98% 5.1k $10k (exactly $10,209) Noguiin
Dorts : A Darts Roguelike $8.99 23 100% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) MovingPixels
Wizard Pool $2.99 66 84% 2.0k $5.9k (exactly $5,920) Grouch, SuitNtie, Negative Karma
Angel Club $6.99 20 65% 600 $4.2k (exactly $4,194) イルカのヒレ
Crazy Robot Ball $5.99 18 100% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) Blue Band Studio
Billgard $3.99 24 95% 720 $2.9k (exactly $2,873) Triflgard

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.