Games › Sports › Sports + Base Building
Should I ship a Base Building Sports game?
Sports + Base Building
Only 16 developers shipped a Base Building Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, GT Manager, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×282 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 10 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) |
| Top 25% | $87k (exactly $86,913) |
| Top 5% | $177k (exactly $176,929) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Base Building
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Base Building; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Management
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dialogue Heavy, Family Friendly
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 986 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
F1® Manager 2024 2024 · $5.8M 
GT Manager 2025 · $177k 
GEL RUN 2026 · $100k 
Under Par Golf Architect 2026 · $95k 
Gym Manager 2024 · $92k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | F1® Manager 2024 | older | $34.99 | 5,554 83% | 167k | $5.8M (exactly $5,830,034) | Frontier Developments |
| | GT Manager | $24.99 | 236 71% | 7.1k | $177k (exactly $176,929) | THE TINY DIGITAL FACTORY, IMV STUDIO | |
| | GEL RUN | $39.99 | 83 89% | 2.5k | $100k (exactly $99,575) | Kaloyan Stoyanov | |
| | Under Par Golf Architect | $19.99 | 158 81% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Broken Arms Games | |
| | Gym Manager | older | $9.99 | 306 80% | 9.2k | $92k (exactly $91,708) | Han GAMES |
 | CFS (Chinese Football Simulator) | $9.99 | 290 67% | 8.7k | $87k (exactly $86,913) | 悟空实验室 | |
 | Resort Boss: Golf | older | $12.99 | 95 35% | 2.9k | $37k (exactly $37,022) | Gus Martin |
 | Open Wheel Manager 2 | $9.99 | 104 72% | 3.1k | $31k (exactly $31,169) | Paprikash Games | |
 | Ski Park Tycoon | older | $9.99 | 74 60% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $22,178) | by Jan Zizka |
 | Octohill Ski Tycoon | $8.99 | 41 85% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $11,058) | DeuxBaguettes | |
 | Jumbo Scooter | $5.00 | 34 85% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,100) | BepeDev | |
 | Dynasty! | $14.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | newberry94005 | |
 | Gym Empire - Idle Gym Tycoon Management | $4.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | Chronik Spartan | |
 | Wukong Survivors ：Begin | $2.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $1.6k (exactly $1,615) | Seal233 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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