Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler Top-Down Shooter?

Auto Battler + Top-Down Shooter

Of 20 developers who shipped an Auto Battler Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $21k, ×44 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 29 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $1.3k → $10k → $748 → $748 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,641)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $21,101)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 38
Announced 29
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Auto Battler, Top-Down Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Action, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 356 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $750, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD older $9.99 209 70% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,637) Mini Fun Games
最后的仙门 The last Practice Sect older $3.99 504 53% 15k $60k (exactly $60,329) 栖鸾工作室
Kill A Million Rats $10.99 64 89% 1.9k $21k (exactly $21,101) Nerdook Productions
INSANIO $9.99 48 66% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,386) somebody
Fight To The Death $2.99 113 76% 3.4k $10k (exactly $10,136) Amrita
Burst Hero older $2.99 77 87% 2.3k $6.9k (exactly $6,907) YaYa Game
Cloud Keeper: Shrine of Dal · EA $6.99 28 100% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) Jetpackgone
Catlike Magic older $4.99 37 97% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Blue9Fairy
Dungeon and Craft older $6.99 25 92% 750 $5.2k (exactly $5,242) Musa GUNGOR
BRUTUS MAXIMUS $4.99 31 64% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) SuperStructureGames
BBS (Bulletin Board System) Magica $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) ねむねむおかき
Maku $2.99 36 75% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) whelp
Scrap Age: Survivors $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Fractal Blue Entertainment
Battle Bits $4.99 5 40% 150 $748 (exactly $748) NecoPlanet
Intergalactic Cleaning Squad $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Rigid Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.