Do I ship it?

GamesProgrammingProgramming + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Programming Auto Battler?

Programming + Auto Battler

Only 14 developers shipped a Programming Auto Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rogue Voltage, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $14k, ×29 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $3.0k. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 29.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Programming + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $65k → $14k → $129k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Programming + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $2.9k (exactly $2,936)
Median $14k (exactly $13,786)
Top 25% $129k (exactly $128,756)
Top 5% $284k (exactly $284,462)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 26
Announced 14
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Programming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Programming, Auto Battler
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,849 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.0k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.0k. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Programming with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Base BuildingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + RogueliteFair24 devs · median $9.3k · 28 announced
  3. + SandboxFair60 devs · median $7.0k · 71 announced
  4. + Time ManagementFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  5. + AutomationFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  6. + Turn-Based TacticsFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  7. + SimulationFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced
  8. + RobotsFair24 devs · median $1.8k · 29 announced
  9. + CrimeFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 13 announced
  10. + Sci-fiFair56 devs · median $1.7k · 63 announced
  11. + FuturisticFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 25 announced
  12. + IdlerFair25 devs · median $1.1k · 29 announced

All 57 pairs on the Programming page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena older $14.99 846 87% 25k $380k (exactly $380,446) GFX47
Rogue Voltage $15.99 593 92% 18k $284k (exactly $284,462) Horizont Computergrafik
Xenopurge $12.49 419 84% 13k $157k (exactly $156,999) Traptics
Auto Rogue $6.99 719 91% 22k $151k (exactly $150,774) 定期的な宝物
Wireworks $6.99 614 89% 18k $129k (exactly $128,756) JJJ
The Bibites: Digital Life · EA $9.99 218 96% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,335) Omnia Studios
UNHUMAN $3.99 161 73% 4.8k $19k (exactly $19,272) Kinda Lowkey Games
Echoes of the Architects $9.99 46 80% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) GFX47
Bioprototype $4.99 50 86% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) Emprom Game
Kanji Industry · EA older $6.99 26 92% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Tsune Studio
BBS (Bulletin Board System) Magica $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) ねむねむおかき
Clank-Robotics $6.99 14 92% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Clank Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.