Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Mystery Dungeon

Only 17 developers shipped a Mystery Dungeon Auto Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Skull Horde, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×26 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $3.9k. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 26.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $27k → $12k → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $3.8k (exactly $3,835)
Median $13k (exactly $12,587)
Top 25% $57k (exactly $56,943)
Top 5% $422k (exactly $422,045)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 29
Announced 16
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Auto Battler, Mystery Dungeon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Dungeon Crawler, Roguelike, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 4,737 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.9k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $56k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.9k. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  3. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  4. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  5. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  6. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  7. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  9. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  11. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  12. + SpaceFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 54 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Vivid Knight older $14.99 1,635 89% 49k $735k (exactly $735,260) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Skull Horde $12.99 1,083 81% 32k $422k (exactly $422,045) 8BitSkull
Vivid World $19.99 591 88% 18k $354k (exactly $354,423) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
TRADESMAN: Deal to Dealer $4.99 1,528 78% 46k $229k (exactly $228,742) AZAMATIKA
Villages & Dungeons $6.99 1,036 91% 31k $217k (exactly $217,249) CaCaFrog Studio
Shana - Priestess of Tona $9.99 190 74% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Lustration Team
Into the Restless Ruins $14.99 109 83% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) Ant Workshop Ltd
Vambrace: Dungeon Monarch $14.99 61 70% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Dvora Studio Co. Ltd.
The Dream Labyrinth $14.99 44 81% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,787) GGG`s
Everfall 2: Idle Dungeon RPG $9.99 42 76% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) GameDevJoey
Heroes Against Time $7.49 53 94% 1.6k $12k (exactly $11,909) David Vinokurov

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.