Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Robots

Of 20 developers who shipped a Robot Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $8.0M, ×12786 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 27 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.6k → $38k → $0 → $2.6k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,386)
Top 5% $8.0M (exactly $8,029,843)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 42
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Auto Battler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Combat, Strategy, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 18,697 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $8.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mechabellum $14.99 17,856 84% 536k $8.0M (exactly $8,029,843) Game River
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena older $14.99 846 87% 25k $380k (exactly $380,446) GFX47
Annihilate The Spance · EA $29.99 347 90% 10k $312k (exactly $312,196) Skyglow Softworks
Botworld Odyssey $25.00 279 76% 8.4k $209k (exactly $209,250) Featherweight Games
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
INSANIO $9.99 48 66% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,386) somebody
Mechanibot older $2.99 50 90% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) Jon Nielsen
Scrap Snap $4.99 25 80% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) BinkyGames
Terranny · EA older $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Terranos Engineering
Metal Ascension older $7.49 14 42% 420 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Don Pachi
Clank-Robotics $6.99 14 92% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Clank Studios
Maid Mech $2.99 29 96% 870 $2.6k (exactly $2,601) Dark Arrow Studio
Scrap Age: Survivors $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Fractal Blue Entertainment
Circuit Stance $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Fluffy Brown

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.