Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Nature

Only 19 developers shipped a Nature Auto Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hive Blight, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×290 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 33 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 33 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $30 → $8.8k → $628 (still earning) → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $628 (exactly $628)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $25,583)
Top 5% $138k (exactly $137,515)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 31
Announced 33
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 275% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Auto Battler; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Exploration, Hex Grid
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,011 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $630, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fish Game older $24.99 589 93% 18k $442k (exactly $441,573) A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink… (A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink Games)
Crop Rotation older $9.99 508 94% 15k $152k (exactly $152,248) Sprouting Potato
Hive Blight · EA $12.49 367 94% 11k $138k (exactly $137,515) OptizOnion
The Bibites: Digital Life · EA $9.99 218 96% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,335) Omnia Studios
Hole Dweller older $7.99 260 96% 7.8k $62k (exactly $62,322) Thigh High Games
Folk Emerging $24.99 73 86% 2.2k $55k (exactly $54,728) Curious Dynamics
Neon Curves Racing $12.99 92 94% 2.8k $36k (exactly $35,852) Ghost Machine
This Isn't Just Tower Defense $6.99 122 61% 3.7k $26k (exactly $25,583) Pri Games
GUG $5.99 49 34% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) Martian Lawyers Club
Beyond the Grove · EA $14.99 18 77% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Not a Duck
Spirit Dungeon · EA $9.99 27 51% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Nemora Games
Kibble Cats $4.99 38 89% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) Vozmog
Kill the Slimes $2.99 7 57% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Flowing Fates

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.