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Should I ship a Mythological Auto Battler?
Auto Battler + Mythology
Of 22 developers who shipped a Mythological Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×731 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 27 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,887) |
| Top 5% | $459k (exactly $458,816) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Auto Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Mythology
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Auto Battler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Turn-Based Combat
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 4,881 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Auto Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ProgrammingFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Action RTSFair
- + SimulationFair
- + EconomyFair
- + SandboxFair
- + CyberpunkFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + CatsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + SwordplayFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Yaoling: Mythical Journey | $19.99 | 2,854 90% | 86k | $1.7M (exactly $1,711,544) | RAYKA STUDIO | |
| | Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator | · EA | $24.99 | 612 81% | 18k | $459k (exactly $458,816) | Contec Games |
| | Tavern of Gods | older | $9.99 | 775 77% | 23k | $232k (exactly $232,268) | Element Studio |
| | Tiny Tactics | older | $9.99 | 661 82% | 20k | $198k (exactly $198,102) | Tiny Forge Gaming |
| | 无休仙途 | $5.99 | 966 72% | 29k | $174k (exactly $173,590) | GOCORE | |
| | AutoChess of Gensokyo | · EA older | $15.99 | 355 67% | 11k | $170k (exactly $170,294) | MyACG Studio |
| | Gods vs Horrors | $14.99 | 254 75% | 7.6k | $114k (exactly $114,224) | Oriol Cosp Games | |
| | Infinite Tao | older | $3.99 | 852 79% | 26k | $102k (exactly $101,984) | insomnia |
| | Sons of Ra | older | $14.99 | 37 70% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | Pharaoh Hound Games |
| | Summoner's Gambit | $7.99 | 69 52% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $16,539) | Billion Studio | |
| | Noah's Dilemma | $9.99 | 43 90% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $12,887) | Guanpeng Chen | |
| | Curtain Call: Chronicles of Heroes | $5.99 | 34 67% | 1.0k | $6.1k (exactly $6,110) | Life Trust Foundation | |
| | DmonMaster | $8.88 | 14 78% | 420 | $3.7k (exactly $3,730) | Harusame | |
| | Raidbound | $4.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Rustin Robinson | |
| | 挂机修仙之我能合成功法! | $0.99 | 29 44% | 870 | $861 (exactly $861) | 99 Game Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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