Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Futuristic

Of 37 developers who shipped a Futuristic Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×554 the market median. Revenue is up 230% on the market; 57 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 230% on the market, 57 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $599 → $629 → $2.2k → $657 → $537 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $776 (exactly $776)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,875)
Top 5% $263k (exactly $263,023)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 69
Announced 57
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 230% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Auto Battler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, PvE, Roguelike
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 17,232 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $780, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Bazaar $19.99 14,931 70% 448k $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121) Tempo
Desktop Defender $4.99 1,757 92% 53k $263k (exactly $263,023) Conradical Games
Holder of Place $9.99 288 90% 8.6k $86k (exactly $86,314) Ardent Fields
CyberTD older $19.99 50 66% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Clockwork Origins
Flaregate Network $14.99 58 77% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Keycard Studio, LLC
NebuLeet $15.99 53 90% 1.6k $25k (exactly $25,424) quasilyte
Hyper Empire $11.99 46 78% 1.4k $17k (exactly $16,546) Fair Weather Studios
Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights $19.99 21 61% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Gunpowder Games, Focuspoint Studios
Curtain Call: Chronicles of Heroes $5.99 34 67% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) Life Trust Foundation
Outcasts of Orion older $7.99 22 86% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) We Are Cats
Discremental $4.99 28 53% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Elite Gorgon Games
Bottom Squad $5.99 16 62% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) Family Devs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.