Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Dragons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dragon Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Dragons

Only 15 developers shipped a Dragon Auto Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Batomon Showdown, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×20 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×234 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 36 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 36 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Dragons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $6.9k → $16k (still earning) → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Dragons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $13k (exactly $12,587)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $62,637)
Top 5% $147k (exactly $147,052)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 36
Announced 36
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 550% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Dragons
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Auto Battler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Dungeon Crawler, Management
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,540 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 36 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Batomon Showdown $14.99 327 87% 9.8k $147k (exactly $147,052) berrymint
Mage and Monsters older $4.99 903 89% 27k $135k (exactly $135,179) Lasse Zacho Malver
Mage and Monsters II $8.99 372 82% 11k $100k (exactly $100,328) Lasse Zacho Malver
Gargadusa's Tower $8.99 294 90% 8.8k $79k (exactly $79,292) The Math Team
Dragon Ruins II $9.99 209 87% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,637) Graverobber Foundation
Swords And Magic: Path Of Conquest · EA $9.99 128 77% 3.8k $38k (exactly $38,362) ShadowMoon Wolf Game Tech Ltd
Tears of Adria older $13.99 75 86% 2.3k $31k (exactly $31,478) Ark Island Studio
Loot Hero DX older $2.99 338 71% 10k $30k (exactly $30,319) VaragtP
My Infamous Dungeon $14.99 63 76% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,331) BoxFox Studios
The Dragonhood older $7.99 83 73% 2.5k $20k (exactly $19,895) Scrambled Games
Auto Battle Girl $9.99 52 80% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) Mutual Fun Studio
Warena $9.99 42 52% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Part Time Monkey
King of Tokyo - Richard Garfield $19.99 16 68% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Breakfirst
Open The Gate: Just A Little $5.99 37 75% 1.1k $6.6k (exactly $6,649) Abubu Dance

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.