Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 8 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Auto Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Bazaar, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.3k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $8.9M, ×18851 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 18 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Auto Battler + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Median $5.3k (exactly $5,280)
Top 25% $459k (exactly $458,816)
Top 5% $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 27
Announced 18
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Auto Battler, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 16,070 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $5.3k, 1 in 4 over $450k, 1 in 20 over $8.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Bazaar $19.99 14,931 70% 448k $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121) Tempo
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
Hole Dweller older $7.99 260 96% 7.8k $62k (exactly $62,322) Thigh High Games
Stash: A Card Looter $9.99 186 79% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) WheeGaming
Roots of Harmony $8.00 22 100% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,280) Guillaume Beaumel
Bastionforge $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Ballardo: Roguelike Billiards · EA $8.99 13 53% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Nue Games
Supernova Tactics older $6.99 14 57% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Peepod Inc.
HeroInc · EA $8.99 10 90% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Nue Games
Idle Keep $4.25 5 60% 150 $638 (exactly $638) PixelBitGames
Embermarch $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ser Podrik Pomboke

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.