Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Capitalism

Only 15 developers shipped a Capitalist Auto Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Bazaar, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $34k, ×72 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $8.9M, ×18851 the market median. Revenue is up 685% on the market; 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 71.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 685% on the market, 23 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $140k → $86k (still earning) → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $2.9k (exactly $2,875)
Median $34k (exactly $34,166)
Top 25% $176k (exactly $175,924)
Top 5% $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 26
Announced 23
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 685% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Auto Battler
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 18,782 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.9k, median $34k, 1 in 4 over $170k, 1 in 20 over $8.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.9k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Bazaar $19.99 14,931 70% 448k $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121) Tempo
Luck be a Landlord older $9.99 10,213 93% 306k $3.1M (exactly $3,060,836) TrampolineTales
Q-UP $9.99 1,126 93% 34k $337k (exactly $337,462) Everybody House Games
Insider Trading $12.89 600 79% 18k $232k (exactly $232,020) Naiive
Nonentity Galaxy $9.99 587 94% 18k $176k (exactly $175,924) Brick-Up Studio
Berserk B.I.T.S $6.99 667 81% 20k $140k (exactly $139,870) BerserkBoy Games
Skeleseller $6.99 409 91% 12k $86k (exactly $85,767) Xtonomous
SuperTaxCity $9.99 166 89% 5.0k $50k (exactly $49,750) soramame-koubou
Coin Tavern $9.99 114 85% 3.4k $34k (exactly $34,166) Woven Dream Isle
Inventorix $4.99 131 100% 3.9k $20k (exactly $19,611) Arcaludi
Town Keeper $8.99 51 92% 1.5k $14k (exactly $13,755) Cuddle Code

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.