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Should I ship an Auto Battler Bullet Hell?
Auto Battler + Bullet Hell
Of 70 developers who shipped an Auto Battler Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $630, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $64k, ×136 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 68 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $238 (exactly $238) |
|---|---|
| Median | $628 (exactly $628) |
| Top 25% | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) |
| Top 5% | $64k (exactly $64,494) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 70 |
| Released games | 128 |
| Announced | 68 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 210% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Auto Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Auto Battler, Bullet Hell; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Action, Roguelite
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,257 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Auto Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ProgrammingFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Action RTSFair
- + SimulationFair
- + EconomyFair
- + SandboxFair
- + CyberpunkFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + CatsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + SwordplayFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Heretic's Fork | older | $9.99 | 3,097 85% | 93k | $928k (exactly $928,171) | 9FingerGames |
| | ShapeHero Factory | $23.99 | 991 88% | 30k | $713k (exactly $713,223) | Asobism.Co.,Ltd | |
| | Be My Horde | · EA older | $9.99 | 2,052 85% | 62k | $615k (exactly $614,984) | Polished Games |
| | Nomad Survival | older | $4.99 | 1,517 87% | 46k | $227k (exactly $227,095) | The Fox Knocks |
| | Seer's Gambit | $14.99 | 490 76% | 15k | $220k (exactly $220,353) | Unleash The Giraffe | |
| | Godslayer Arena | · EA | $14.99 | 257 76% | 7.7k | $116k (exactly $115,573) | Hippo Rider Games |
| | Infinite Tao | older | $3.99 | 852 79% | 26k | $102k (exactly $101,984) | insomnia |
| | Dice People | $2.99 | 719 90% | 22k | $64k (exactly $64,494) | Mateusk2m, Manodeix | |
| | Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD | older | $9.99 | 209 70% | 6.3k | $63k (exactly $62,637) | Mini Fun Games |
| | 最后的仙门 The last Practice Sect | older | $3.99 | 504 53% | 15k | $60k (exactly $60,329) | 栖鸾工作室 |
| | This Isn't Just Tower Defense | $6.99 | 122 61% | 3.7k | $26k (exactly $25,583) | Pri Games | |
| | Wandness: WandCraft Survivor | $6.99 | 107 74% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar | |
| | Ballatory | $7.99 | 82 78% | 2.5k | $20k (exactly $19,655) | Mini Fun Games | |
| | Increbraintal | $2.99 | 174 82% | 5.2k | $16k (exactly $15,608) | Hymoori | |
| | Endless waves survival | $1.99 | 202 79% | 6.1k | $12k (exactly $12,059) | Jeferson Belmiro | |
| | Fight To The Death | $2.99 | 113 76% | 3.4k | $10k (exactly $10,136) | Amrita |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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