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Should I ship a Bullet Heaven Auto Battler?
Auto Battler + Bullet Heaven
Of 30 developers who shipped a Bullet Heaven Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $57k, ×121 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 42 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,676) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $16,300) |
| Top 5% | $57k (exactly $57,288) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 800% more developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Auto Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Bullet Heaven
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Auto Battler, Bullet Heaven; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tower Defense, Roguelike
- Price point
- $5.00 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,813 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 42 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Auto Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ProgrammingFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Action RTSFair
- + SimulationFair
- + EconomyFair
- + SandboxFair
- + CyberpunkFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + CatsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + SwordplayFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Heretic's Fork | older | $9.99 | 3,097 85% | 93k | $928k (exactly $928,171) | 9FingerGames |
| | Be My Horde | · EA older | $9.99 | 2,052 85% | 62k | $615k (exactly $614,984) | Polished Games |
| | Nomad Survival | older | $4.99 | 1,517 87% | 46k | $227k (exactly $227,095) | The Fox Knocks |
| | Wireworks | $6.99 | 614 89% | 18k | $129k (exactly $128,756) | JJJ | |
| | Infinite Tao | older | $3.99 | 852 79% | 26k | $102k (exactly $101,984) | insomnia |
| | Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD | older | $9.99 | 209 70% | 6.3k | $63k (exactly $62,637) | Mini Fun Games |
| | Mech Fortress | $7.99 | 239 85% | 7.2k | $57k (exactly $57,288) | Some Sugar Studio | |
| | All Aboard! The Train Defense Express | $4.99 | 379 84% | 11k | $57k (exactly $56,736) | Likadev | |
| | Incrempire | $6.99 | 167 68% | 5.0k | $35k (exactly $35,020) | FMGames, Regnum Noctis | |
| | Gem Miner TD | $12.99 | 72 97% | 2.2k | $28k (exactly $28,058) | iFeral Games | |
| | Wandness: WandCraft Survivor | $6.99 | 107 74% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar | |
| | Ballatory | $7.99 | 82 78% | 2.5k | $20k (exactly $19,655) | Mini Fun Games | |
| | Meta Card Backpack Legend | $7.99 | 68 97% | 2.0k | $16k (exactly $16,300) | KY Games | |
| | Lichgate: Tower Survivor | $6.99 | 57 75% | 1.7k | $12k (exactly $11,953) | Sun Lion Games | |
| | Cloud Keeper: Shrine of Dal | · EA | $6.99 | 28 100% | 840 | $5.9k (exactly $5,872) | Jetpackgone |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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