Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Archery game?

Archery + Nature

Only 11 developers shipped a Nature Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Unbridled: That Horse Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×7.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×3.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×769 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 36 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 36 announced, ×7.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $637k → $300 → $2.7k → $6.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Archery + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,755)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,475)
Top 5% $365k (exactly $365,104)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 40
Announced 36
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 669 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  5. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  6. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  7. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  10. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  11. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced
  12. + CombatPoor odds36 devs · median $898 · 97 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Pathless older $39.99 1,944 90% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,332,217) Giant Squid
Northern Journey older $11.99 3,500 96% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,950) Slid Studio
Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders older $29.99 1,020 68% 31k $918k (exactly $917,694) MeanAstronauts
Oh Deer older $9.99 2,125 84% 64k $637k (exactly $636,862) Cozy Cabin Studios
Unbridled: That Horse Game · EA $24.99 487 85% 15k $365k (exactly $365,104) Mind Evotion Games
Eden Island older $14.99 232 58% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) Moon Studio
The End of Dyeus older $14.99 181 88% 5.4k $81k (exactly $81,396) Curious Planet
Throbbin Hood 🏹🔞 $14.99 99 80% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,520) BanzaiProject
Survivor - Castaway Island older $24.99 53 37% 1.6k $40k (exactly $39,734) Magic Pockets
Windstorm: An Unexpected Arrival older $14.99 87 67% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) Aesir Interactive
Journey of the Garden Rose $11.99 18 77% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Renegade Sector Games
South America Gold Rush · EA $9.99 9 44% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Argo Games
Bunny Hurling $2.99 25 92% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Mounpeak Games
Ancestral Players · EA $5.85 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,755) ENSLIP
Arrow Survival: 15 Seconds $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Low Pixel Byte
The Deepwoods $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Whiteleopard Studios
Bow Course - Archery Golf · EA $11.99 2 50% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Korpi Games Oy
Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) MagusForge

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.