Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Archery game?

Archery + Female Protagonist

Only 13 developers shipped a Female-Led Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Reach, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.5k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×462 the market median. Revenue is up 640% on the market; 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 640% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $2.1k → $32k → $16k
Outcomes for Archery + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $6.5k (exactly $6,475)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $32,186)
Top 5% $220k (exactly $219,527)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 37
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 640% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,657 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $6.5k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  3. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  4. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  5. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  6. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  8. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  10. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  11. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced
  12. + CombatPoor odds36 devs · median $898 · 97 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
The Pathless older $39.99 1,944 90% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,332,217) Giant Squid
BLACKTAIL older $29.99 1,968 83% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,770,610) THE PARASIGHT
Reach $29.99 244 66% 7.3k $220k (exactly $219,527) nDreams Elevation
Thief VR: Legacy of Shadow $19.99 340 75% 10k $204k (exactly $203,898) Maze Theory
Nancy Drew®: The Silent Spy older $19.99 169 89% 5.1k $101k (exactly $101,349) HeR Interactive
Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow older $13.99 150 78% 4.5k $63k (exactly $62,955) Catthia Games
Many Nights a Whisper $2.99 699 94% 21k $63k (exactly $62,700) Deconstructeam, Selkie Harbour
Dark Water : Slime Invader older $14.99 138 94% 4.1k $62k (exactly $62,059) DEVBOX
Windstorm: An Unexpected Arrival older $14.99 87 67% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) Aesir Interactive
Psionic Sentry : Infinite · EA $4.99 215 83% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,186) Roy, 響雨互動娛樂, HowlingRain
Phoenix's Faye $9.99 55 76% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) BigFireball
Mythrealm · EA $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Delta Video Games
Journey of the Garden Rose $11.99 18 77% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Renegade Sector Games
the Shadow of Swallow $3.99 30 76% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Raine Studio
Elf Archer and The Disappearing Giant Tree - R18 $3.99 21 61% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Bubble Gums
FIRE The First Dreamer $19.99 2 0% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) SIC Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.