Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Archery game?

Archery + Magic

Of 24 developers who shipped a Magic Archery game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $49k, ×103 the market median. Revenue is up 225% on the market; 56 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 225% on the market, 56 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $50k → $1.7k → $2.5k → $299 → $420 → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Archery + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $540 (exactly $540)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,229)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,151)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 85
Announced 56
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 225% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action-Adventure, Adventure, Action RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.98 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.98 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,160 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  5. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  6. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  7. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  9. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  11. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Grimlord $29.99 927 78% 28k $834k (exactly $834,022) Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd
Project Sparrow · EA older $9.99 1,067 88% 32k $320k (exactly $319,780) Inspire Game Studios
QuiVr older $19.99 482 88% 14k $289k (exactly $289,055) Blueteak
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown older $19.99 326 97% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Falling Squirrel, Creative Bytes Studios
Vengeful Rites older $19.99 252 94% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Deep Dive Interactive
HG Adventure · EA older $13.99 132 88% 4.0k $55k (exactly $55,400) 皓际
Testament: The Order of High Human older $19.99 84 42% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Fairyship Games
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
RFVR · EA older $29.99 49 81% 1.5k $44k (exactly $44,085) OMFGames
Nasty Rogue older $10.99 102 76% 3.1k $34k (exactly $33,629) Voxelblade Studio
Journey of the Garden Rose $11.99 18 77% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Renegade Sector Games
传说之始 $3.99 46 71% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) 水月suigetsu
Heart of Eternity $7.99 17 76% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Ukrainian Development Company
Tales of Isenberg $2.99 36 100% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) Madarász András, Varga David
Elf Archer and The Disappearing Giant Tree - R18 $3.99 21 61% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Bubble Gums
Forsaken Shores · EA $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Kuldan Studio
The Deepwoods $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Whiteleopard Studios
Dungeon-Bot $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) XREALL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.