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Should I ship an Arcade Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Arcade
Only 11 developers shipped an Arcade Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bomb Royale, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $450 (exactly $450) |
| Top 25% | $4.9k (exactly $4,940) |
| Top 5% | $19k (exactly $19,012) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 54 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 405% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Arcade
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game, Arcade
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 269 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions | older | $59.99 | 5,072 73% | 152k | $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) | TAMSOFT CORPORATION |
| | SUPER DRAGON BALL HEROES WORLD MISSION | older | $59.99 | 1,404 82% | 42k | $2.5M (exactly $2,526,779) | Dimps Corporation, SAFARI GAMES Co., Lt… (Dimps Corporation, SAFARI GAMES Co., Ltd.) |
| | Barro | older | $4.99 | 3,253 85% | 98k | $487k (exactly $486,974) | SC Jogos |
| | FORCED SHOWDOWN | older | $19.99 | 491 82% | 15k | $294k (exactly $294,453) | BetaDwarf |
| | Barro Racing | older | $4.99 | 1,250 83% | 38k | $187k (exactly $187,125) | SC Jogos |
| | Beyond Gravity | older | $1.99 | 789 88% | 24k | $47k (exactly $47,103) | Qwiboo Ltd |
| | Control Craft 3 | older | $4.99 | 235 73% | 7.1k | $35k (exactly $35,180) | Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik |
| | Volleying | older | $1.99 | 358 70% | 11k | $21k (exactly $21,373) | Gestalt Development Studio |
| | Bomb Royale | $4.99 | 127 62% | 3.8k | $19k (exactly $19,012) | Onur Doğan | |
| | Cardburners | $9.99 | 58 98% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,383) | GrosChevaux | |
| | TRUCO BAR | $4.99 | 33 81% | 990 | $4.9k (exactly $4,940) | LoboAnarquista, João Rafael Refatti Sil… (LoboAnarquista, João Rafael Refatti Silva) | |
| | XIII - A Final Game of Tarot With Death | $1.99 | 34 91% | 1.0k | $2.0k (exactly $2,030) | Indigo Dreams | |
| | Battle Hanafuda | · EA | $7.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) | SUZUKI PLAN, Yoji Suzuki |
| | Food Fight | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Recoil Mojo | |
| | Battle Babes 3 | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Recoil Mojo | |
| | Games for Stream! | $3.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | Lacozy | |
| | Strange Monsters Memory | $0.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $119 (exactly $119) | SeeTheRaw | |
| | Insignis | $1.00 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Fallen Crown Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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