Games › Auto Battler › Auto Battler + Aliens
Should I ship an Alien Auto Battler?
Auto Battler + Aliens
Of 20 developers who shipped an Alien Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×5652 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $26k (exactly $26,083) |
| Top 5% | $2.7M (exactly $2,684,890) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Auto Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Auto Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelite, Strategy, Tactical
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.49 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 6,812 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Auto Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ProgrammingFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Action RTSFair
- + SimulationFair
- + EconomyFair
- + SandboxFair
- + CyberpunkFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + CatsFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + SwordplayFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Tower Dominion | $17.49 | 5,117 85% | 154k | $2.7M (exactly $2,684,890) | Parallel 45 Games | |
| | Down with the Ship | · EA | $14.99 | 817 93% | 25k | $367k (exactly $367,405) | Iron Anchor Games |
| | Xenopurge | $12.49 | 419 84% | 13k | $157k (exactly $156,999) | Traptics | |
| | Swarm Queen | older | $7.49 | 384 94% | 12k | $86k (exactly $86,285) | Helmi Bastami (Flyborg.net) |
| | Lazy Galaxy 2 | older | $7.99 | 167 77% | 5.0k | $40k (exactly $40,030) | Coldwild Games |
| | Battle Grid | older | $5.99 | 204 80% | 6.1k | $37k (exactly $36,659) | Barking Dogs |
| | Corrupted: Dawn of Havoc | · EA older | $14.99 | 75 65% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $33,728) | 36Litters |
| | Steve's Warehouse: Physics. Roguelike. Chaos. | $7.99 | 130 87% | 3.9k | $31k (exactly $31,161) | Definitely Named Steve | |
| | Flaregate Network | $14.99 | 58 77% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $26,083) | Keycard Studio, LLC | |
| | Inventorix | $4.99 | 131 100% | 3.9k | $20k (exactly $19,611) | Arcaludi | |
| | Live Hard, Die Hard | $4.99 | 83 89% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,425) | Asobism.Co.,Ltd | |
| | Idle Stellar | $4.99 | 45 60% | 1.4k | $6.7k (exactly $6,736) | Noody Games | |
| | Disaster Blaster | $9.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Jarsick | |
| | StarShipdle | · EA | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | CapriGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.