Do I ship it?

Games › Sports › Sports + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Sports game?

Sports + Action Roguelike

Of 41 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 110% on the market; 39 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 110% on the market, 39 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $538 → $12k → $60 → $0 → $1.6k → $9.4k → $450 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $35,180)
Top 5% $226k (exactly $225,660)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 156
Announced 39
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 110% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Action Roguelike; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Physics
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 3,091 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Descenders Next 2025 · EA · $350k Whisker Squadron: Survivor 2025 · $291k Helskate 2025 · $226k Bloody Rally Show 2020 · $149k Lake of Creatures 2024 · $133k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Descenders Next · EA $29.99 389 79% 12k $350k (exactly $349,983) RageSquid
Whisker Squadron: Survivor $19.99 485 77% 15k $291k (exactly $290,854) Flippfly LLC
Helskate $24.99 301 65% 9.0k $226k (exactly $225,660) Phantom Coast
Bloody Rally Show older $19.99 248 89% 7.4k $149k (exactly $148,726) Kodo Linija
Lake of Creatures $12.49 354 92% 11k $133k (exactly $132,644) ANTENNA GAMES
Pro Jank Footy $14.99 215 80% 6.5k $97k (exactly $96,686) Powerbomb Games, Tinker Town
Hangtime! $9.99 250 77% 7.5k $75k (exactly $74,925) Leo Langlois
VR Sailing $7.99 307 96% 9.2k $74k (exactly $73,588) HFRK.
Motordoom older $13.99 174 94% 5.2k $73k (exactly $73,028) Hobo Cat Games
Extreme Climbing older $7.99 277 92% 8.3k $66k (exactly $66,397) HFRK
4Wheel Challenge $3.99 409 57% 12k $49k (exactly $48,957) LJ3D STUDIOS
KUNKUN Defender 2 $4.99 294 94% 8.8k $44k (exactly $44,012) Seal
Vilde $15.99 87 74% 2.6k $42k (exactly $41,734) Chaotic Minds

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.