Do I ship it?

GamesTrading Card GameTrading Card Game + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Trading Card Game?

Trading Card Game + 2D Platformer

Only 9 developers shipped a 2D Platformer Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Baduk Challenge (Go Challenge), made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 32205% on the market, 10 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading Card Game + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Trading Card Game + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $239 (exactly $239)
Top 5% $1.3k (exactly $1,319)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 35
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Trading Card Game, 2D Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,918 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $230, 1 in 20 over $1.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  2. + SandboxFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds10 devs · median $10k · 26 announced
  5. + TradingPoor odds16 devs · median $10k · 36 announced
  6. + Life SimPoor odds18 devs · median $10k · 21 announced
  7. + CollectathonPoor odds26 devs · median $6.3k · 41 announced
  8. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $6.1k · 25 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds11 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  10. + Auto BattlerPoor odds22 devs · median $3.4k · 27 announced
  11. + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 38 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $3.1k · 36 announced

All 69 pairs on the Trading Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fishing Adventure older $4.99 1,479 85% 44k $221k (exactly $221,406) MasterCode
Beyond Gravity older $1.99 789 88% 24k $47k (exactly $47,103) Qwiboo Ltd
Tinboy older $4.99 231 64% 6.9k $35k (exactly $34,581) Interactive Stone
Sexy Jigsaw | 性感拼图 | 섹시 퍼즐 | セクシーなパズル older $3.99 215 83% 6.5k $26k (exactly $25,736) ZOV GAME STUDIO
九州风流 · EA older $17.99 38 60% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) GB
Garbage Pail Kids: Mad Mike and the Quest for Stale Gum older $9.99 39 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) Retrotainment Games, Digital Eclipse
幻斋阴阳录 Genzai:Serialization older $3.99 75 84% 2.3k $9.0k (exactly $8,978) Genzai Studio
孑游列国 older $3.99 16 68% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Mystical95 Studio
Kawaii Rainbow Portal older $1.99 32 71% 960 $1.9k (exactly $1,910) CSM
Baduk Challenge (Go Challenge) $10.99 4 50% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) OH YU HWAN
Hexa Vanguard $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Hexa Devs
Real Puzzles - Kittens $1.99 4 75% 120 $239 (exactly $239) Black Cat Leo
Soul Monsters Card Game $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Industrial Miracle (yawangshiro)
Random Isles $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Mounight
战略大师 Strategy Master $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 撒香蕉工作室
超能力麻将 · EA $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) DINGWOKER
黑帆王座·Galactic Loadout $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Pocket Forge
Cat & Mouse Dungeon $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Xunx

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.