Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Golf game?

Golf

Of 88 developers who shipped a Golf game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $94k, ×151 the market median. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 108 games are announced against 51 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 145% on the market, 108 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 88
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $2.4k → $3.0k → $1.8k → $539 → $719 → $1.4k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 88
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 5% $95k (exactly $94,753)
Developers, 2 yr 88
Released games 279
Announced 108
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Golf
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Golf
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 15,213 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $960, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $94k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 51 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Golf

19 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Golf + Simulation Fair $1.4k 32 devs
  2. PvP + Golf Fair $1.4k 29 devs
  3. Golf + Adventure Fair $1.4k 18 devs
  4. Golf + Score Attack Fair $1.2k 11 devs
  5. Golf + Physics Fair $987 55 devs
  6. Golf + Arcade Fair $719 40 devs
  7. 3D Platformer + Golf Fair $719 16 devs
  8. Golf + Puzzle Fair $539 16 devs
  9. Golf + Local Multiplayer Poor odds $3.1k 14 devs
  10. Golf + Exploration Poor odds $1.0k 14 devs
  11. Character Customization + Golf Poor odds $959 14 devs
  12. Golf + Mini Golf Poor odds $958 38 devs
  13. Sports + Golf Poor odds $899 67 devs
  14. Action + Golf Poor odds $899 28 devs
  15. Golf + Strategy Poor odds $539 14 devs
  16. Golf + Platformer Poor odds $179 17 devs
  17. Golf + Precision Platformer Poor odds $179 11 devs
  18. Golf + 4 Player Local Dead $3.0k 9 devs
  19. Golf + Puzzle Platformer Dead $179 7 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Golf With Your Friends 2020 · $23M Golf It! 2023 · $6.7M PGA TOUR 2K25 2025 · $4.5M EA SPORTS™ PGA TOUR™ 2023 · $4.5M Super Battle Golf 2026 · $3.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Golf It! older $8.99 24,695 90% 741k $6.7M (exactly $6,660,242) Perfuse Entertainment
PGA TOUR 2K25 $39.99 3,791 70% 114k $4.5M (exactly $4,548,063) HB Studios
EA SPORTS™ PGA TOUR™ older $69.99 2,156 56% 65k $4.5M (exactly $4,526,953) Electronic Arts - Tiburon
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
Walkabout Mini Golf VR older $24.99 3,094 97% 93k $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) Mighty Coconut
EVERYBODY'S GOLF HOT SHOTS $39.99 1,048 60% 31k $1.3M (exactly $1,257,286) HYDE, Inc.
Perfect Golf older $34.99 876 65% 26k $920k (exactly $919,537) PERFECT PARALLEL
4D Golf older $19.99 775 98% 23k $465k (exactly $464,767) CodeParade
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Disc Golf Masters · EA $24.99 427 83% 13k $320k (exactly $320,122) Spinoff Games
Under Par Golf Architect $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Broken Arms Games
Puttler $7.99 244 95% 7.3k $58k (exactly $58,487) Bean Juice Studios
Looney Tunes: Wacky World of Sports $49.99 34 79% 1.0k $51k (exactly $50,990) Bamtang Games
Golden Tee Arcade Classics $29.99 45 86% 1.4k $40k (exactly $40,486) Digital Eclipse
Super 10 Pin $11.99 92 98% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,092) Modus Interactive
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.