Do I ship it?

GamesGolfGolf + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Golf Strategy game?

Golf + Strategy

Only 14 developers shipped a Golf Strategy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Under Par Golf Architect, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $94k, ×151 the market median. Revenue is up 4205% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 4205% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Golf + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $1.1k → $9.0k → $539 → $0 → $3.6k (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Golf + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,392)
Top 5% $95k (exactly $94,753)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 46
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4205% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Golf
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Golf, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 81% positive over 342 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $540, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $94k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Golf with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationFair32 devs · median $1.4k · 29 announced
  2. + PvPFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  3. + AdventureFair18 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  5. + PhysicsFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  6. + ArcadeFair40 devs · median $719 · 46 announced
  7. + 3D PlatformerFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair16 devs · median $539 · 17 announced
  9. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  10. + ExplorationPoor odds14 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds14 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  12. + Mini GolfPoor odds38 devs · median $958 · 60 announced

All 18 pairs on the Golf page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Golf It! older $8.99 24,695 90% 741k $6.7M (exactly $6,660,242) Perfuse Entertainment
Perfect Golf older $34.99 876 65% 26k $920k (exactly $919,537) PERFECT PARALLEL
GolfTopia older $19.99 477 95% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) MinMax Games Ltd.
Golf Peaks older $4.99 1,076 95% 32k $161k (exactly $161,077) Afterburn
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Worms Crazy Golf older $9.99 407 82% 12k $122k (exactly $121,978) Team17 Digital Ltd
Under Par Golf Architect $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Broken Arms Games
Resort Boss: Golf older $12.99 95 35% 2.9k $37k (exactly $37,022) Gus Martin
Pixel Golf Club older $29.99 40 80% 1.2k $36k (exactly $35,988) Galactic Geckon
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
This Is Golf $4.99 86 94% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,874) SaltySeedGames
Golf Gambit · EA $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) KB Entertainment
Coastal Summit Sports: College Athletics 27 $9.99 12 25% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Coastal Summit Sports
高球王者 GolfKings $11.99 4 75% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 小如文化
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Miney Golf $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) RedEye Games, LLC
Angry Golf 2 $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) DIG Games
The Herd $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Levelhead Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.