Do I ship it?

GamesActionAction + Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Golf Action game?

Action + Golf

Of 28 developers who shipped a Golf Action game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $29k, ×47 the market median. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 35 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action + Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $6.6k → $4.5k → $2.2k → $899 → $540 → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action + Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,452)
Top 5% $29k (exactly $29,385)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 82
Announced 35
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Golf
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action, Golf; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Sports, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 9,574 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $29k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseFair16 devs · median $103k · 18 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair25 devs · median $14k · 30 announced
  3. + PinballFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair43 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  5. + Football (American)Fair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + BaseballFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  7. + BilliardsFair19 devs · median $958 · 25 announced
  8. + IdlerFair225 devs · median $898 · 292 announced
  9. + TennisFair23 devs · median $628 · 12 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair90 devs · median $599 · 110 announced
  11. + TabletopFair71 devs · median $505 · 86 announced
  12. + WuxiaPoor odds9 devs · median $189k · 36 announced

All 288 pairs on the Action page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Cursed to Golf older $19.99 693 70% 21k $416k (exactly $415,592) Chuhai Labs
Golf Gang older $9.99 782 84% 23k $234k (exactly $234,365) Lazy Monday Games
Golfing Over It with Alva Majo older $4.99 1,461 75% 44k $219k (exactly $218,712) Majorariatto
Turbo Golf Racing older $9.99 635 85% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Hugecalf Studios
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Worms Crazy Golf older $9.99 407 82% 12k $122k (exactly $121,978) Team17 Digital Ltd
Dangerous Golf older $19.99 145 73% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) Three Fields Entertainment
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
SPORTAL $7.99 57 94% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Sleepwalking Potatoes
Golf Gambit · EA $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) KB Entertainment
The Last Golfer $19.99 12 91% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Karthik Subramanyam, Andrew Laing
Soul Injector Commando $14.99 13 92% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Jeremy Couillard
Putt Down $6.99 26 65% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Icehelm
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave
Super Serious Golf $4.99 22 100% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Karnage Studios
Scurry $4.99 18 94% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Identical Forest

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.