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Should I ship a Trading Tactical RPG?
Tactical RPG + Trading
Only 6 developers shipped a Trading Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 中年失业模拟器2-When a man lose his job 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $900 against a market of $630. 19 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 5% | $7.7k (exactly $7,727) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Trading
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Tactical RPG, Trading
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 9,910 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + Space SimFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Starpoint Gemini 2 2014 · $3.2M 
Star Traders: Frontiers 2018 · $1.7M 
Horizon's Gate 2020 · $727k 
Dust to the End 2021 · $387k 
Caravaneer 2 2020 · $96k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Starpoint Gemini 2 | older | $34.99 | 3,021 70% | 91k | $3.2M (exactly $3,171,144) | Little Green Men Games |
| | Star Traders: Frontiers | older | $14.99 | 3,672 83% | 110k | $1.7M (exactly $1,651,298) | Trese Brothers |
| | Horizon's Gate | older | $19.99 | 1,213 94% | 36k | $727k (exactly $727,436) | Rad Codex |
| | Dust to the End | older | $11.99 | 1,076 78% | 32k | $387k (exactly $387,037) | Haojoy Game, Zjoy Game |
| | Caravaneer 2 | older | $5.99 | 535 94% | 16k | $96k (exactly $96,140) | Dmitry Zheltobriukhov |
 | Kingdom of Wreck Business | older | $9.99 | 127 31% | 3.8k | $38k (exactly $38,062) | WarZoneLab |
 | The Chronicles of Quiver Dick | older | $2.99 | 173 93% | 5.2k | $16k (exactly $15,518) | Crankage Games |
 | Deal & Wheeler | · EA older | $9.99 | 40 40% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | ArtNeronDevelopment |
 | 中年失业模拟器2-When a man lose his job 2 | $5.99 | 43 60% | 1.3k | $7.7k (exactly $7,727) | Kwing works | |
 | The Galactic Junkers | older | $16.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $5.1k (exactly $5,097) | Evil Twin Artworks |
 | Hired Stars | · EA | $19.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Mark Kaps |
 | Hmph! Hmph! Yowai | $14.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Rexz Kev | |
 | The Exchange Manager | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | The Black Swan | |
 | 仙途 | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | EighteenPluser | |
 | MECH DISTRICT | · EA | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Stands to Reason Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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