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Should I ship a Tabletop Tactical RPG?
Tactical RPG + Tabletop
Of 39 developers who shipped a Tabletop Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1769 the market median. Revenue is up 405% on the market; 68 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $28k (exactly $27,872) |
| Top 5% | $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 39 |
| Released games | 106 |
| Announced | 68 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 405% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Tabletop
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Tactical RPG, Tabletop; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics, RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,529 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + Space SimFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Armello 2015 · $8.3M 
TRIANGLE STRATEGY 2022 · $5.8M 
Sunderfolk 2025 · $2.8M 
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked 2025 · $1.1M 
Warhammer Underworlds - Shadespire Edition (Classic) 2020 · $953k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Armello | older | $24.99 | 11,013 82% | 330k | $8.3M (exactly $8,256,446) | League of Geeks |
| | TRIANGLE STRATEGY | older | $59.99 | 3,239 78% | 97k | $5.8M (exactly $5,829,228) | Square Enix, ARTDINK |
| | Sunderfolk | $49.99 | 1,890 93% | 57k | $2.8M (exactly $2,834,433) | Secret Door | |
| | Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked | $29.99 | 1,235 82% | 37k | $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) | Resolution Games | |
| | Warhammer Underworlds - Shadespire Edition (Classic) | older | $29.99 | 1,059 70% | 32k | $953k (exactly $952,782) | Steel Sky Productions, Tin Man Games |
 | Tales & Tactics | older | $17.99 | 1,737 80% | 52k | $937k (exactly $937,459) | Table 9 Studio |
 | Black Geyser: Couriers of Darkness | older | $29.99 | 924 74% | 28k | $831k (exactly $831,323) | GrapeOcean Technologies |
 | Headquarters: World War II | older | $39.99 | 508 74% | 15k | $609k (exactly $609,448) | Starni Games |
 | Nowhere Prophet | older | $24.99 | 721 77% | 22k | $541k (exactly $540,534) | Sharkbomb Studios |
 | Terrinoth®: Heroes of Descent | $34.99 | 441 75% | 13k | $463k (exactly $462,918) | Artefacts Studio, Shine Group | |
 | Dobbel Dungeon | $19.99 | 441 92% | 13k | $264k (exactly $264,468) | Gamepie | |
 | Conquest Tactics : Realm of Sin | $14.99 | 162 69% | 4.9k | $73k (exactly $72,851) | Singular Sunshine Studios | |
 | Project: AHNO's Ark | $12.99 | 120 92% | 3.6k | $47k (exactly $46,764) | PHOSEPO | |
 | Draw Steel | · EA | $19.99 | 67 98% | 2.0k | $40k (exactly $40,180) | Verisim, MCDM |
 | Headquarters: Cold War | $29.99 | 37 64% | 1.1k | $33k (exactly $33,289) | Starni Games | |
 | Successor | $24.99 | 43 60% | 1.3k | $32k (exactly $32,237) | Playwood Project | |
 | Neuroshima Hex | $9.99 | 93 72% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | Baked Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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