Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Steampunk

Only 10 developers shipped a Steampunk Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, New Arc Line, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $8.5k against a market of $630. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 13.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 2410% on the market, 20 announced, ×6.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $6.0k (exactly $5,992)
Median $8.5k (exactly $8,544)
Top 25% $112k (exactly $111,544)
Top 5% $515k (exactly $515,044)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 27
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2410% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 76% positive over 1,627 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.0k, median $8.5k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $510k.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.0k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Vaporum older $19.99 998 84% 30k $599k (exactly $598,501) Fatbot Games, s. r. o.
New Arc Line · EA $24.99 687 68% 21k $515k (exactly $515,044) Dreamate
Iron Danger older $19.99 544 73% 16k $326k (exactly $326,237) Action Squad Studios
Shardpunk older $13.99 739 92% 22k $310k (exactly $310,158) Clockwork Pile
Dead Weight $12.99 575 82% 17k $224k (exactly $224,078) Klukva Games
Prime World: Defenders older $9.99 729 78% 22k $218k (exactly $218,481) Nival
Vaporum: Lockdown older $17.99 292 83% 8.8k $158k (exactly $157,592) Fatbot Games, s. r. o.
Circus Electrique older $19.99 258 74% 7.7k $155k (exactly $154,723) Zen Studios
Erannorth Renaissance $19.99 186 81% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Spyridon Thalassinos
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Spellpowder: Uprising $14.99 19 94% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Rogandir Studio
City of Springs $6.99 38 86% 1.1k $8.0k (exactly $7,969) The Naked Dev, Alterego Games
Augmented Empire $7.99 25 88% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Coatsink
Squad Tactics · EA $2.99 3 33% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Canabar Studios
Warmage $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Avenyrh
Multi-Tactics: 豊葦原星記 -蒸気の章- · EA $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mottie Mortimer Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.