Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Stealth game?

Stealth + World War II

Only 11 developers shipped a WWII Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Indiana Jones and the Great Circle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $43k, ×68 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $9.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $27M, ×43659 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 68.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.5k → $43k → $991k → $2.8M → $35k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $9.6k (exactly $9,595)
Median $43k (exactly $42,857)
Top 25% $2.8M (exactly $2,765,447)
Top 5% $27M (exactly $27,417,883)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 70
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $17.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth
Price point
$17.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 20,576 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $9.6k, median $43k, 1 in 4 over $2.7M, 1 in 20 over $27M.

3 in 10 developers made under $9.6k. 3 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  3. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  4. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  5. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  6. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  8. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  9. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  11. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced
  12. + DrivingPoor odds18 devs · median $6.6k · 35 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sniper Elite 4 older $59.99 54,258 91% 1.6M $98M (exactly $97,648,123) Rebellion
Wolfenstein II: The New Colossus older $39.99 35,277 81% 1.1M $42M (exactly $42,321,817) MachineGames
Sniper Elite 5 older $49.99 24,818 83% 745k $37M (exactly $37,219,555) Rebellion
Wolfenstein: The New Order older $19.99 46,443 91% 1.4M $28M (exactly $27,851,867) MachineGames
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle $69.99 13,058 89% 392k $27M (exactly $27,417,883) MachineGames
Sniper Elite 3 older $29.99 21,407 82% 642k $19M (exactly $19,259,878) Rebellion
Wolfenstein: The Old Blood older $19.99 18,076 90% 542k $11M (exactly $10,840,177) MachineGames
Sniper Elite: Resistance $49.99 4,825 75% 145k $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052) Rebellion
Partisans 1941 older $29.99 7,531 82% 226k $6.8M (exactly $6,775,641) Alter Games
Medal of Honor™ older $19.99 7,021 82% 211k $4.2M (exactly $4,210,494) Electronic Arts
Commandos: Origins $49.99 1,844 79% 55k $2.8M (exactly $2,765,447) Claymore Game Studios
63 Days $29.99 413 72% 12k $372k (exactly $371,576) Destructive Creations
Silent Shark $17.99 125 98% 3.8k $67k (exactly $67,462) John Goering
Medic: Pacific War · EA $9.99 143 70% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,857) Hypnotic Ants
FEAR OF FAITH · EA $9.99 117 78% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) UNBREAKABLE ARK
Salvation: Echoes of War $19.99 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Infinite Entropy
Partisan $7.99 31 83% 930 $7.4k (exactly $7,431) Paradigm
Instruments of Peace $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Outlaw Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.