Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Stealth game?

Stealth + Dinosaurs

Only 10 developers shipped a Dinosaur Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FEROCIOUS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×27 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $550k, ×886 the market median. Revenue is up 10135% on the market; 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 27.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 10135% on the market, 23 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Stealth + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $17k (exactly $17,014)
Top 25% $179k (exactly $179,262)
Top 5% $556k (exactly $556,277)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 27
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10135% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 2,503 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $170k, 1 in 20 over $550k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  8. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  9. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  11. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced
  12. + DrivingPoor odds18 devs · median $6.6k · 35 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
FEROCIOUS $24.99 742 63% 22k $556k (exactly $556,277) OMYOG
Deathground · EA $14.99 877 61% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) Jaw Drop Games
Prehistoric Hunt · EA older $17.99 678 84% 20k $366k (exactly $365,917) Antiproto Studios
Serial Cleaners older $24.99 357 76% 11k $268k (exactly $267,643) Draw Distance
Unknown Tapes $12.99 460 80% 14k $179k (exactly $179,262) Traviteam Games
Dinosis Survival older $5.99 291 55% 8.7k $52k (exactly $52,293) Corpix Games
Rip Current $8.99 114 85% 3.4k $31k (exactly $30,746) Breaking Dimensions, Polygon Dust Enter… (Breaking Dimensions, Polygon Dust Entertainment)
Reptiles: In Hunt older $9.99 97 57% 2.9k $29k (exactly $29,071) Corpix Games
BLOOD MALL: RETAPED $1.99 285 94% 8.6k $17k (exactly $17,014) Ollie Hall
Primeval Genesis · EA $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) After Hours Digital
Nocturnal Relics $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Mighty Magpie AB
Primal Fear $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Connor White
Primal Glade $2.49 3 33% 90 $224 (exactly $224) Jonathan Moye
Primal Frost $2.49 2 50% 60 $149 (exactly $149) Jonathan Moye

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.