Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Stealth

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Stealth JRPG?

JRPG + Stealth

Only 7 developers shipped a Stealth JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Human Farm : Investigation :, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $900. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 12 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Stealth
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for JRPG + Stealth: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,292)
Top 5% $30k (exactly $30,397)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 31
Announced 12
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Stealth
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 94,540 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $30k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Persona 5 Royal older $59.99 91,682 96% 2.8M $165M (exactly $165,000,095) ATLUS
Shadow Corridor 2 雨ノ四葩 older $18.99 853 87% 26k $486k (exactly $485,954) Space Onigiri Game LLC
Claire's Quest: GOLD · EA older $19.99 562 85% 17k $337k (exactly $337,031) Dystopian Project
LoveKami -Divinity Stage- older $12.99 547 83% 16k $213k (exactly $213,166) MoeNovel
Didnapper 2 older $19.99 184 96% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) DID Games
Embarrassed Shina-chan~ the Naked Wandering College Girl older $19.99 167 60% 5.0k $100k (exactly $100,150) かわいそうなのは抜ける
Fleshlight Squad - Fleshlightize - older $14.99 178 75% 5.3k $80k (exactly $80,047) ちゃおいずむ
Human Farm - Rehabilitation - older $8.99 196 79% 5.9k $53k (exactly $52,861) とっくり海月
The Chronicles of Nyanya older $19.99 79 92% 2.4k $47k (exactly $47,376) hamstercube
Phantom Thief Effie older $14.99 92 90% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Yamanashi Musume
Human Farm : Investigation : $12.99 78 80% 2.3k $30k (exactly $30,397) とっくり海月
Loli Ninja Village $6.99 92 80% 2.8k $19k (exactly $19,292) PAON, 072 Localize
Assassin's Shadows $14.99 3 66% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Noxurtica
Busty Beast-Ear Airi's Hentai Escape $5.99 7 100% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) でぃぱるちゃ
Dream Dazia $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) CosmoRetro Studios LLC
ClockOut $2.49 7 100% 210 $523 (exactly $523) f8game.studio
Agents of Shadow $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Hoffnung Haydn

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.