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Should I ship a Gun Customization Stealth game?
Gun Customization + Stealth
Of 20 developers who shipped a Gun Customization Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $13k, ×21 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×2256 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 63 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $600 (exactly $600) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $13,486) |
| Top 25% | $201k (exactly $200,799) |
| Top 5% | $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 52 |
| Announced | 63 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Stealth
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization, Stealth; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Combat
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 4,631 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 3 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
Comparable games
PAYDAY 2 2013 · $134M 
PAYDAY 3 2023 · $44M 
Sniper Elite 5 2022 · $37M 
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 2021 · $15M 
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2019 · $9.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | PAYDAY 2 | older | $9.99 | 445,531 89% | 13M | $134M (exactly $133,525,641) | OVERKILL - a Starbreeze Studio., Sidetr… (OVERKILL - a Starbreeze Studio., Sidetrack Games) |
| | PAYDAY 3 | older | $29.99 | 49,305 45% | 1.5M | $44M (exactly $44,359,708) | Starbreeze Studios |
| | Sniper Elite 5 | older | $49.99 | 24,818 83% | 745k | $37M (exactly $37,219,555) | Rebellion |
| | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 | older | $39.99 | 12,781 83% | 383k | $15M (exactly $15,333,366) | CI Games |
| | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts | older | $29.99 | 10,966 73% | 329k | $9.9M (exactly $9,866,110) | CI Games |
 | Way of the Hunter | older | $29.99 | 8,528 81% | 256k | $7.7M (exactly $7,672,642) | Nine Rocks Games |
 | Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six® Extraction | older | $39.99 | 2,865 66% | 86k | $3.4M (exactly $3,437,140) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Future Soldier™ | older | $19.99 | 5,506 71% | 165k | $3.3M (exactly $3,301,948) | Ubisoft Paris, Red Storm Entertainment |
 | Predator: Hunting Grounds | older | $19.99 | 4,635 76% | 139k | $2.8M (exactly $2,779,610) | IllFonic |
 | Intravenous 2 | older | $19.99 | 4,069 95% | 122k | $2.4M (exactly $2,440,179) | Explosive Squat Games |
 | ERA ONE | · EA | $29.99 | 1,575 86% | 47k | $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) | Team Complex LTD |
 | Transience | $19.99 | 774 69% | 23k | $464k (exactly $464,168) | RESURGENT | |
 | SWAT Commander | · EA | $19.99 | 665 77% | 20k | $399k (exactly $398,800) | Red Mountain Games, Ritual Interactive |
 | Z.O.N.A: Origin | $19.99 | 540 83% | 16k | $324k (exactly $323,838) | AGaming+ | |
 | KILLER INN | · EA | $9.99 | 670 44% | 20k | $201k (exactly $200,799) | Square Enix, Tactic Studios |
 | Dustland | · EA | $22.99 | 100 69% | 3.0k | $69k (exactly $68,970) | RedPad Games |
 | D.E.C.A.Y. | · EA | $24.99 | 82 84% | 2.5k | $61k (exactly $61,475) | AGaming+ |
 | Libertine: King of Hearts | $19.99 | 96 85% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | Hasnotalent Media | |
 | Iridio | $19.99 | 87 86% | 2.6k | $52k (exactly $52,174) | KR Games | |
 | Beyond Enemy Lines - Vietnam | · EA | $14.99 | 42 66% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $18,887) | Polygon Art |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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