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Should I ship a Turn-Based Combat Stealth game?
Stealth + Turn-Based Combat
Only 8 developers shipped a Turn-Based Combat Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cyber Knights: Flashpoint, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×6.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $27k, ×43 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×4192 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $27k (exactly $26,863) |
| Top 25% | $287k (exactly $287,120) |
| Top 5% | $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 44 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Stealth
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Turn-Based Combat
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Stealth, Turn-Based Combat
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 119,110 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGFair
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + Gun CustomizationPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
- + DrivingPoor odds
Comparable games
Persona 5 Royal 2022 · $165M 
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden 2018 · $14M 
Invisible, Inc. 2015 · $3.1M 
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint 2025 · $2.6M 
Demeo 2021 · $2.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 5 Royal | older | $59.99 | 91,682 96% | 2.8M | $165M (exactly $165,000,095) | ATLUS |
| | Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden | older | $34.99 | 13,305 89% | 399k | $14M (exactly $13,966,258) | The Bearded Ladies |
| | Invisible, Inc. | older | $19.99 | 5,096 91% | 153k | $3.1M (exactly $3,056,071) | Klei Entertainment |
| | Cyber Knights: Flashpoint | $29.99 | 2,926 93% | 88k | $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) | Trese Brothers | |
| | Demeo | older | $39.99 | 1,703 87% | 51k | $2.0M (exactly $2,043,089) | Resolution Games |
 | Classified: France '44 | older | $39.99 | 844 70% | 25k | $1.0M (exactly $1,012,547) | Absolutely Games |
 | RONIN | older | $12.99 | 1,613 71% | 48k | $629k (exactly $628,586) | Tomasz Wacławek |
 | Capes | older | $39.99 | 446 67% | 13k | $535k (exactly $535,066) | Spitfire Interactive |
 | Silent Storm Gold Edition | older | $9.99 | 963 88% | 29k | $289k (exactly $288,611) | Nival |
 | Vultures - Scavengers of Death | $17.99 | 532 81% | 16k | $287k (exactly $287,120) | Team Vultures | |
 | Trench Face | $2.99 | 717 93% | 22k | $64k (exactly $64,315) | Pulse Blue | |
 | Shadowed: The Demon Castle of Ooe | $15.99 | 56 92% | 1.7k | $27k (exactly $26,863) | Lab Rabbit Games ltd | |
 | DEATH PENALTY | $11.99 | 33 84% | 990 | $12k (exactly $11,870) | HACKJOB | |
 | Dream Dazia | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | CosmoRetro Studios LLC | |
 | Shadowlight | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Unangwata | |
 | Agents of Shadow | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Hoffnung Haydn |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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