Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Stealth game?

Stealth + Werewolves

Only 9 developers shipped a Werewolf Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Project Werewulf, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $200, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper, while revenue is down 85% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 18 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Stealth + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $200 (exactly $200)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 5% $700k (exactly $699,967)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 26
Announced 18
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 4,056 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $200, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Werewolf: The Apocalypse - Earthblood older $29.99 1,463 69% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,316,261) Cyanide Studio
Project Werewulf $29.99 778 83% 23k $700k (exactly $699,967) FTRGameStudio
The Matriarch older $4.99 724 75% 22k $108k (exactly $108,383) Chewa
Lycans older $4.99 309 91% 9.3k $46k (exactly $46,257) Onu Games
Barking from the Dark $3.99 197 88% 5.9k $24k (exactly $23,581) shoftArt
Shadow Ninja: Apocalypse older $4.99 153 55% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) Boogygames Studios
Vox Populi Vox Dei 2 older $2.99 246 82% 7.4k $22k (exactly $22,066) Great Cogs
Guise Of The Wolf older $2.99 119 36% 3.6k $11k (exactly $10,674) FUN Creators
Jack & Detectives - A Silent Social Detection Game - older $4.99 52 75% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) Curiouspark
Daughter of The Void · EA $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Shaybabe
MeMic $7.99 11 63% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) OnlineKingdom
666 Malevolence Lane $6.66 1 100% 30 $200 (exactly $200) Bearly_A_Studio
Beyond the Eyes $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Sapphirus Production
Silent Howl $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Yorbi
The Evil Inside $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Danny Boyd
Dead Slayers $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) JINI SOFT

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.