Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Stealth game?

Stealth + Vampires

Only 14 developers shipped a Vampire Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vampire: The Masquerade® - Bloodlines™ 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×29927 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 28 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 28 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $3.4k → $106k → $359 → $719 → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,529)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $18,794,267)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 40
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, FPS
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Dark, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 55% positive over 10,520 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $720, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Vampyr older $39.99 20,081 77% 602k $24M (exactly $24,091,176) DONTNOD Entertainment
Vampire: The Masquerade® - Bloodlines™ 2 $59.99 10,443 55% 313k $19M (exactly $18,794,267) The Chinese Room
Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines older $19.99 13,889 94% 417k $8.3M (exactly $8,329,233) Troika Games
Redfall older $39.99 2,460 40% 74k $3.0M (exactly $2,951,262) Arkane Austin
DEADBOLT older $9.99 4,852 96% 146k $1.5M (exactly $1,454,144) Hopoo Games
Blood Omen 2: Legacy of Kain older $6.99 1,087 66% 33k $228k (exactly $227,944) ·
DARK older $9.99 743 54% 22k $223k (exactly $222,677) Realmforge Studios
Vampire: The Masquerade - Justice older $29.99 235 64% 7.1k $211k (exactly $211,430) Fast Travel Games
Vampire Mansion older $3.99 945 93% 28k $113k (exactly $113,116) eTIRUe
[DE:]Fanastasis older $19.99 177 96% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Mosamosa
Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire $19.99 41 70% 1.2k $25k (exactly $24,588) Schell Games
Evil Of Fate · EA $4.99 11 54% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Route Games
EVERDARK: Undead Apocalypse $16.99 3 100% 90 $1.5k (exactly $1,529) ESDIP_GAMES, Everdark Labs
SevenDay $3.99 9 55% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) KX Games
Labyrinth : Dracula's lair $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) MyceliumGames
Vampire Prison $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) MYJIKA INC.
Shuttering $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Grimmdark
Escape From Vampire Castle: Miss Luna's Diary $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) MYJIKA INC.
Vlad the Landlord $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Melinus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.