Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics Stealth game?

Stealth + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 10 developers shipped a Turn-Based Tactics Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cyber Knights: Flashpoint, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×7.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.1k, ×6.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×4192 the market median. Revenue is up 1085% on the market; 36 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 1085% on the market, 36 announced, ×7.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $80k → $7.8k → $4.1k
Outcomes for Stealth + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Top 25% $120k (exactly $120,034)
Top 5% $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 57
Announced 36
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1085% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 89% positive over 3,801 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $4.1k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $2.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden older $34.99 13,305 89% 399k $14M (exactly $13,966,258) The Bearded Ladies
Phantom Doctrine older $39.99 3,821 73% 115k $4.6M (exactly $4,584,054) CreativeForge Games
Invisible, Inc. older $19.99 5,096 91% 153k $3.1M (exactly $3,056,071) Klei Entertainment
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint $29.99 2,926 93% 88k $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) Trese Brothers
Demeo older $39.99 1,703 87% 51k $2.0M (exactly $2,043,089) Resolution Games
Classified: France '44 older $39.99 844 70% 25k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,547) Absolutely Games
Sumerian Six older $29.99 1,101 94% 33k $991k (exactly $990,570) Artificer
RONIN older $12.99 1,613 71% 48k $629k (exactly $628,586) Tomasz Wacławek
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Silent Storm Gold Edition older $9.99 963 88% 29k $289k (exactly $288,611) Nival
Vultures - Scavengers of Death $17.99 532 81% 16k $287k (exactly $287,120) Team Vultures
Rina's Undercover Train Operation $13.99 286 70% 8.6k $120k (exactly $120,034) Metamorphose
Paracom $10.99 21 90% 630 $6.9k (exactly $6,924) Steel Widow Klan
Double It $5.99 23 91% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Anisage Games
Nightmare Pursuit · EA $4.99 7 42% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) JusCify
Shadowlight $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Unangwata
Ivan $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Henry Scheuller
Hidden Bloodhunt $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Imaginary Conception
Within The Mind $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) RC-LP

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.