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Should I ship a Turn-Based Strategy Stealth game?
Stealth + Turn-Based Strategy
Only 11 developers shipped a Turn-Based Strategy Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cyber Knights: Flashpoint, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×4192 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $6.9k (exactly $6,924) |
| Top 5% | $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 56 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Stealth
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Turn-Based Strategy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Stealth, Turn-Based Strategy
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 91% positive over 3,530 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGFair
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + Gun CustomizationPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 5 Royal | older | $59.99 | 91,682 96% | 2.8M | $165M (exactly $165,000,095) | ATLUS |
| | Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden | older | $34.99 | 13,305 89% | 399k | $14M (exactly $13,966,258) | The Bearded Ladies |
| | Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion | older | $17.99 | 22,287 84% | 669k | $12M (exactly $12,028,294) | 半瓶醋工作室(Half Amateur Studio) |
| | Phantom Doctrine | older | $39.99 | 3,821 73% | 115k | $4.6M (exactly $4,584,054) | CreativeForge Games |
| | Invisible, Inc. | older | $19.99 | 5,096 91% | 153k | $3.1M (exactly $3,056,071) | Klei Entertainment |
| | Cyber Knights: Flashpoint | $29.99 | 2,926 93% | 88k | $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) | Trese Brothers | |
| | Demeo | older | $39.99 | 1,703 87% | 51k | $2.0M (exactly $2,043,089) | Resolution Games |
| | Classified: France '44 | older | $39.99 | 844 70% | 25k | $1.0M (exactly $1,012,547) | Absolutely Games |
| | Sumerian Six | older | $29.99 | 1,101 94% | 33k | $991k (exactly $990,570) | Artificer |
| | Wild Bastards | older | $34.99 | 616 74% | 18k | $647k (exactly $646,615) | Blue Manchu |
| | Vultures - Scavengers of Death | $17.99 | 532 81% | 16k | $287k (exactly $287,120) | Team Vultures | |
| | Paracom | $10.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $6.9k (exactly $6,924) | Steel Widow Klan | |
| | Lands of Rumour | $9.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Vaeril Games | |
| | Silent | $2.99 | 27 44% | 810 | $2.4k (exactly $2,422) | GenemesicX | |
| | Nightmare Pursuit | · EA | $4.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | JusCify |
| | Faith Of Life _ Survive Edition | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Faith Studio Team | |
| | Silent Howl | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Yorbi | |
| | Detective Pig | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Young Man | |
| | Steal It | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | LuQ Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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