Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Stealth game?

Stealth + Time Travel

Only 6 developers shipped a Time-Travel Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BrokenLore: DON'T WATCH, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×14 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.0k against a market of $630. 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 27 announced, ×14 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Stealth + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,558)
Top 5% $115k (exactly $115,162)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 29,935 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 27 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×14 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Quantum Break older $39.99 23,141 86% 694k $28M (exactly $27,762,258) Remedy Entertainment
The Sexy Brutale older $19.99 2,895 91% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,131) Cavalier Game Studios, Tequila Works
Prince of Persia: The Two Thrones™ older $9.99 2,683 80% 80k $804k (exactly $804,095) Ubisoft Montreal
Doctor Who: The Edge of Reality older $24.99 275 59% 8.3k $206k (exactly $206,168) Maze Theory Ltd, Just Add Water (Develo… (Maze Theory Ltd, Just Add Water (Developments), Ltd.)
BrokenLore: DON'T WATCH $8.99 427 81% 13k $115k (exactly $115,162) Serafini Productions
Chupa Chupa VR older $10.99 121 90% 3.6k $40k (exactly $39,894) kan.kikuchi
TimeShifters older $4.99 167 93% 5.0k $25k (exactly $25,000) FossettGaming
LiBER older $8.99 78 80% 2.3k $21k (exactly $21,037) OLKON GAMES
Hank: Drowning On Dry Land $2.99 140 95% 4.2k $13k (exactly $12,558) My Next Games
Hua Mulan: A Chinese Learning Adventure · EA older $19.99 8 25% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) ODEUM
ANARIA: Reborn $6.99 5 40% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) VOIDEMBER
Kozyrev Horrors $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Catsprout
Chronos Shift $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Pigeon Entertainment
Tempus Umbra · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jabsz Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.