Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Stealth game?

Stealth + Time Management

Of 31 developers who shipped a Time Management Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×207 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 62 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 62 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $1.1k → $539 → $28k → $539 → $120k (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,988)
Top 5% $130k (exactly $130,211)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 75
Announced 62
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 190% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Time Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Co-op
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,965 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Siege Survival: Gloria Victis older $24.99 1,367 79% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,024,840) Black Eye Games
Hero-U: Rogue to Redemption older $29.99 280 90% 8.4k $252k (exactly $251,916) Transolar Games
I Know a Guy: Shady Life Simulator · EA $12.99 398 90% 12k $155k (exactly $155,101) Bunch'o'Nerds
the cabin game · EA $11.99 362 86% 11k $130k (exactly $130,211) Twisted Corridor👻
Rina's Undercover Train Operation $13.99 286 70% 8.6k $120k (exactly $120,034) Metamorphose
Airport Security Sucks! $7.99 458 85% 14k $110k (exactly $109,783) JakeHub, Metater
The Matriarch older $4.99 724 75% 22k $108k (exactly $108,383) Chewa
Carmen Sandiego $29.99 86 67% 2.6k $77k (exactly $77,374) Gameloft
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Scamper older $19.99 87 87% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) Bezbro Games
Hired 2 Die $9.99 169 82% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,649) Electric Monkeys
Find or be Found $7.99 117 69% 3.5k $28k (exactly $28,045) Studio Downstairs
CICADA $9.99 40 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) daimaGAME
Co-op Kaiju Horror Cooking $7.99 33 72% 990 $7.9k (exactly $7,910) Strange Scaffold
Backrooms Union · EA $9.99 16 75% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Sushi Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.