Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Strategy RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy RPG Stealth game?

Stealth + Strategy RPG

Only 19 developers shipped a Strategy RPG Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cyber Knights: Flashpoint, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×4192 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 37 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 37 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Strategy RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $535k → $390 → $179k → $807
Outcomes for Stealth + Strategy RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $117 (exactly $117)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 5% $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 62
Announced 37
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Strategy RPG; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Tactical RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Isometric, 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 3,609 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $2.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kenshi older $29.99 98,451 95% 3.0M $89M (exactly $88,576,365) Lo-Fi Games
Partisans 1941 older $29.99 7,531 82% 226k $6.8M (exactly $6,775,641) Alter Games
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint $29.99 2,926 93% 88k $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) Trese Brothers
Siege Survival: Gloria Victis older $24.99 1,367 79% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,024,840) Black Eye Games
Classified: France '44 older $39.99 844 70% 25k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,547) Absolutely Games
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Silent Storm Gold Edition older $9.99 963 88% 29k $289k (exactly $288,611) Nival
Jagged Alliance: Rage! older $19.99 387 49% 12k $232k (exactly $232,084) Cliffhanger Productions
The Stone of Madness $29.99 199 77% 6.0k $179k (exactly $179,040) The Game Kitchen
EVOTINCTION older $29.99 173 86% 5.2k $156k (exactly $155,648) Spikewave Games
晨昏线 $9.99 427 76% 13k $128k (exactly $127,972) Enter Games
Paracom $10.99 21 90% 630 $6.9k (exactly $6,924) Steel Widow Klan
Catolonizer · EA $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Alin Games
Pretty Agent 2 $4.99 7 28% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) MC GAME
Dream Dazia $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) CosmoRetro Studios LLC
Fake It $2.99 9 100% 270 $807 (exactly $807) Androbyte
The King of Assassins - The Kingdom $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Faith Studio Team, Rabie Mounther Haddad
AO: Containment Breach · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Prismatix-

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.